The real reason why profit-taking didn’t go well
My old self,
thought for a long time that I was bad at taking profits.
- Sell too early
- Fail to capture the rise
- End up saying “could have gone one more step”
So
I thought, “I have to get better at profit-taking.”
That’s what I believed.
But now I can state it clearly.
The problem wasn’t the “skill of taking profits.”
What was missing?
It was
that I tried to make the profit-taking judgments myself.
- Maybe it could still go up
- Ending here would be a waste
- But I’d hate if it reversed
In that moment,
the trade is already breaking down.
The reason is simple:
profit-taking judgments inevitably evoke emotions.
Profit-taking isn’t a “choice” but a “process.”
At a certain point I changed my thinking.
Profit-taking
- is something to be chosen
- is something to be precise about
and I stopped treating it as such.
Instead I thought like this.
Profit-taking is a process that activates when certain conditions are met.
- If it collapses, it ends
- If it hasn’t collapsed, it continues
- That judgment uses only the closing price
Here,
there is
“feeling”
“expectation”
“prediction”not involved.
Whether it rose or not is fine to judge in hindsight.
It’s a common phrase, though.
“The market could have risen further.”
This
can only be said after it ends.
But that’s okay.
- There’s no need to predict whether it will rise
- There’s no need to take the maximum
- Just keep from breaking it
With that alone,
the results will come afterward.
Reasons I stopped being indecisive about profit-taking
There is only one reason profit-taking became easier.
Because I hadn’t decided for myself.
When you haven’t decided something,
regret is less likely to arise.
- That I could have taken more
- That I might have acted too soon
The very possibility of thinking like that
no longer exists by structure.
What I stopped doing
- Thinking about profit-taking
- Going for the best
- Having expectations about the market
What I did instead was
designing only the ending.
Next Episode Preview (Episode 25)
Next, I’ll push here even further.
“Why I cling to the closing price”
The reason for discarding the wicks,
and the meaning of focusing only on the final bar.
――――――――――
Next Episode Preview (Episode 25)
Why do I only look at the closing price?
Why discard the wicks and focus on the confirmed bar?
This way of thinking becomes a structure for “how to end it.”