?FX New Generation? The 2025 market should have been a breeze... Yet the reason it didn’t grow as much as expected
FX has already entered a “new world.” First,the environment itself has evolved significantly.
- Signal tools have become more advanced
- Verification tools can handle vast amounts of data
- AI is being integrated into trading
- The evolution of trailing stops and the emergence of advanced exit strategies
Next,the amount of information has increased overwhelmingly.
- YouTube and SNS are flooded with videos claiming “you can win”
- There are countless books and educational materials
Nevertheless, over 80% of tradershaven’t achieved results, according to statistics. Why is that?
?Have you “fully utilized” high-priced signal tools?
First, let's reflect on the tools. Buying expensive signal tools or spending time on free tools is not inherently bad.The problem is whether you have truly used them to their full potential.
- Did you understand the parameters?
- Did you verify losing signals?
- Did you incorporate them into your trading?
- If results aren’t coming, did you contact the seller?
If you found yourself “stopped using them midway” or “used them without fully understanding,” that may not be the tool’s fault, but rather that you couldn’t harness its performance fully.
If the timing is delayed due to a signal tool whose appearance is unpredictable, that defeats the purpose. How can you master its use? It may be worth rethinking the approach.
?Hundreds of hours of validation, did they lead to results?
Spending time on validation itself is a correct action. Many feel they are “making an effort” or “validated enough,” and have accumulated time. Yet if results do not change, a strong sense of discrepancy remains.
Be honest and review here as well.
- Were the validation results reflected in trading?
- Did you change actions based on the numbers?
- Did you stop at merely being “satisfied with validation”?
Looking at past charts can give the illusion that you know the future. Merely looking at past validation without results diminishes effectiveness.
Validation is not the goal,a means to change results. How can you perform past validation and trading practice more efficiently?
?After watching videos claiming “you can win,” did you win?
There are many trading guidance videos on SNS and video sites. Right after watching them, you may feel you understand or that you’ve become better.
- But did your entries change?
- Did your stop-loss become faster?
- Did unnecessary trades decrease?
If nothing has changed, knowledge has increased but actions have not.Of course, absorbing this information is wonderful. However, merely looking at it without applying it is not meaningful. It becomes valuable only when put into practice.
By validating what you’ve learned and incorporating it into your style, learning becomes useful.
?How was last year’s market, honestly?
In 2025, the market hit a bottom with the Trump tariffs in April, and thereafter yen depreciation and stock strength persisted for a long time. The direction was very clear, and looking back at charts, there were many situations where buying-only trades yielded profits. Overall,a market with relatively low difficulty.
In particular, the latter half saw a high-rise market with stock gains and yen depreciation accelerating, and many felt it was a frenzy.There were some cases where gains capped due to issues with China, but even just a few recent months showed many who could profit significantly.
Even in such an environment, if results didn’t grow as much as expected, the cause might lie outside the market. It’s unlikely that no one won at all.If you still feel it didn’t meet expectations or didn’t increase as much as you thought, there may be room to rethink your method.
?This is not about talent
What I don’t want you to misunderstand here is that this is about talent or aptitude. It’s just one question.Will you continue doing the same approach as last year?
If you feel “this won’t change with the current approach,” this year should be a year to change your mindset, structure, and worldview, rather than just your methods.
As I stated at the beginning of 2025, the market moved significantly with Donald Trump’s statements and policies. Going forward, environments surrounding the markets will become even more complex, including the Ukraine situation, US-China relations, dissolution of the Takashi administration, unpredictable Middle American dynamics, and terrorism outbreaks in various countries.
From now on, in thesemore uncertain environments, facing the market with a mechanism rather than emotion will become even more important.
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