December 15 (Mon): 【Harmonic】 Nikkei 225 VS Russell 2000

[Note]

I don’t know what will happen in the year-end and New Year market.

Trade with ample margin.

At the beginning of 2019'Flash Crash'occurred.

As you can see in the diagram below,

some brokers widened the spread to 100 pips, leading to mass liquidations and margin calls.

This is why many investors recommend closing positions by year-end.

Basically, I also avoid holding positions over the year-end, or at least keep positions small if I do.

Please keep in mind that this kind of event can happen!

In time, history repeats itself…

[Anomaly]

'Tatsumi Peak, Noon Decline, Unprepared, Monkeys Stir, Dog Laughs, Pig Solidifies, Rat Prospers, Ox Stumbles, Tiger Runs a Thousand Miles, Rabbit Leaps'

is what people say.

Next year…'Noon Decline'

thus the market may lose momentum, but…

In fact, next year's "Horse year" is'Bingo Horse (Hinoueuma)'.

Even in a Horse year, when it is 'Bingo Horse,' the market can surge rapidly.

However, even if it surges, the rally can be short-lived, leading to sharp rises followed by sharp declines, which may result in a 'Noon Decline' again…

There is a tendency like this, an anomaly.

Please remember this as well! (*^^)v

This time

we will compare with the 'canary in the coal mine' in a downtrend

'Russell2000'

as a comparison.

[Overall Scenario Probabilities]

This week's overall market is…

'Up: 45% ／ Down: 55%'

Note: leaning slightly toward downside scenarios.

For reference only.