November 19 (Wednesday): [Bollinger Bands] Nikkei 225 vs USD/JPY
This time
“Dollar/Yen”
will be compared.
【Overall Scenario Probability】
This week's overall market is…
“Up: 45% / Down: 55%”
(Short-term downward pressure slightly favored)
* Presented as a reference level.
【This Week's Market Focus Points】
This week's market is expected to feature a clash between short-term consolidation and medium-term upside potential.
Dollar/Yen on the daily chart is likely to show a reversal and decline from a strong resistance band, while on the weekly chart the trend channel remains in effect, leaving room for upside.
Nikkei 225 on the daily chart has a slight advantage for a rebound after reaching -2σ, but if the major U.S. indices expand into an expansion, downside pressure could strengthen again.
Bitcoin's movements also influence the overall market, so attention is on whether it shifts from a closed state to a mean-reversion (MA regression).
With multiple timeframes showing different scenarios in play, this week it is important not to be swayed by short-term swings, but to carefully confirm the overall trend.
➥For further details, see the members-only report.
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● Use “Disassembly of the Bollinger Bands” to analyze daily charts
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1613?via=articles_detail_aside
● Use “The Harmonics Prescription” to draw a Zone where charts should stop, with the idea that “charts stop at points where they should stop”Zone!https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1668?via=articles_detail_aside
(*The following content is for members only.)