October 9th (Thu): [Bollinger Bands] Nikkei 225 vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield
This time
“The Temperature of the Economy”
“U.S. 10-year Treasury yield”
compared to it.
【Overall Scenario Probability】
This week's overall market is…
“Rise: 55% / Fall: 45%”
※ Nikkei 225 rising is favored, but there is no clear direction in the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield
※ Provided as a reference level.
【This Week’s Market Highlights】
This week's market maintains a rising bias, but the movement of the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is in a crucial phase to watch.
Nikkei 225 may rise from a【Time Adjustment】 phase with sideways movement on the 4-hour chart, and on the daily chart a waveform resembling a “three rising candles” could form after a bullish-to-bearish sequence.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is an important indicator called the “Temperature of the Economy,” but it currently lacks a clear direction. The weekly chart is in a【trend channel state】 with a slight downward bias, but the appearance of a rising divergence and the daily chart’s -2σ【strong resistance band】increase the likelihood of a rebound rise.
The four major U.S. indices are in a state of close-out → MA regression, but Bitcoin and the Nikkei 225 remain in a【trend channel state】.
Temporary【negative correlation】 tendencies tend to revert to【positive correlation】eventually. The price movement of the Nikkei 225 on the 4-hour chart will be an important indicator for the overall direction, so attention is needed.
Detailed scenario analyses and the probabilities of rise/fall by each asset are available in the paid section.
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● Try analyzing daily charts with “The Comprehensive Guide to Bollinger Bands”
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1613?via=articles_detail_aside
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