September 25 (Thu): [Bollinger Bands] Nikkei 225 vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield
This time
is called the "temperature of the economy"
compared with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield
【Overall Scenario Probability】
This week's overall market is…
"Rise: 45% / Fall: 55%"
※ Even though a rising bias remains, reversal risk persists
※ Presented as a reference level.
【This Week's Market Watch Points】
What to watch this week is whether the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield [daily chart] can be kept down by the downward-moving MA, or whether it will rise up to +2σ, which is a branching point. If it rises, the Nikkei 225 will still appear to favor a rising scenario, but since the four major U.S. indices are showing reversal signals, caution is needed about a straightforward continuation to new highs.
Also, Gold is in a rising phase from the lateral [time adjustment] (Blue Zone), and the focus will be whether its relationship with the U.S. 10-year yield shifts to a [positive correlation], or whether it returns to the traditional [negative correlation].
This week, as stocks, interest rates, and commodities interact, attention should be paid to resistance-band battles and changes in correlations.
➥The continuation is explained in detail in the member-only report.
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● Use the "Bollinger Band Unraveled" to analyze daily charts
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1613?via=articles_detail_aside
● Use the "Harmonic Prescription" to draw the "charts should stop at the point where they should stop" Zone!ZoneTry drawing it!https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/finance/navi/series/1668?via=articles_detail_aside
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