September 18 (Thu): [Bollinger Bands] Nikkei 225 vs U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield
This time
is referred to as the “economic health indicator”
“U.S. 10-year Treasury yield”
comparison will be made.
【Overall Scenario Probability】
This week's overall market is…
“Rise: 45% / Fall: 55%”
※ Overall weakness due to the decline in U.S. Treasuries
※ Presented as a reference level.
【This Week’s Market Watch Points】
What to watch this week are the movements of the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield and the Nikkei 225. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is continuing to expand on the weekly chart, with a downside bias, while the daily chart is in a sideways consolidation of time adjustment, making the break direction a major focal point.
Meanwhile, the Nikkei 225 has rebounded from the +3σ on the monthly chart and remains in an uptrend; in the 4-hour chart it has undergone a sideways phase, and an upward-moving MA is catching up, raising attention as to whether it will develop into an upturn expansion.
Additionally, Bitcoin shows a somewhat leading uptrend in the form of an expansion, which should not be overlooked. If this spills over into the four major U.S. indices, it could provide a tailwind for the entire stock market, and whether the negative correlation with U.S. Treasuries continues will be the week's biggest point of focus.
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