ห้ามพลาดสำหรับผู้เริ่มต้น! วิธีการใช้ Indicator Pivot
Pivot indicator is something well known among traders, but it has a rather understated presence, doesn't it? Unlike trendlines that give clear signals or arrows, pivot points by themselves cannot be used intuitively as a trading weapon. In reality, many traders use pivots as a reference for profit-taking in day trading or short-term trading. They base decisions on where to take profits or where to cut losses using lines like R1 or S1 as reference. But that presupposes that the day trading method being used is correct in the first place. Pivot R1 and S1 are, in such a premise, merely “location information.”
Let's delve a little deeper into the essence of pivots. Pivot points, at their core, are derived from the previous day's market movement to forecast the next day's price movement range. In simple terms, they are an index to predict how much the market will move and where the center of that movement will lie. The central line, i.e., the “Pivot Point,” can be said, in a physical sense, to be a balance point of supply and demand, a kind of “place of peace.” A balanced state, in other words.
In practice, the market tends to revert to this Pivot Point. Because the balance of supply and demand tends to settle near the Pivot Point. If the market deviates from the Pivot Point, that balance is disrupted. Although the market can continue moving with the balance disrupted, eventually it will try to restore this balance and return to the Pivot Point movement appears.
Here is an important point. It is when there is a strong directional movement. When the market moves strongly in one direction, the balance of supply and demand can be severely disrupted. In this case, the tendency to revert to the Pivot Point may be temporarily ignored, but the market cannot move in one direction forever. Since there are sellers, there must be buyers somewhere, and balance eventually comes to a hit. In other words, even if the market is moving in one direction, it will eventually return to the Pivot Point. As if to restore the lost balance.
In our trading community, we view this Pivot Point property as “Missed Pivot” and use it as one of our anomaly tactics. Anomaly refers to market movements that have certain regularities or seasonal/time characteristics. For example, “the dollar tends to strengthen at the start of the month” or “profit-taking moves are strong on Fridays.” However, many anomalies have weak foundations or low credibility.
For instance, you may have heard the rumor that “on Fridays when a Studio Ghibli film airs on Friday Roadshow, the USD/JPY rises.” The anomalies we emphasize are not occult-like claims but ones with rational bases and a high likelihood of generating profits. Among them, Missed Pivot is particularly reliable and plays a crucial role in our trading tactics.
Missed Pivot refers to a situation where the market ends on a day without touching the Pivot Point, meaning the Pivot Point was not reached. Such unmet Pivot Points are likely to be touched on the next day or in the subsequent market movement, and by using this, you can craft high-probability trading scenarios.
For example, if a Missed Pivot occurred the previous day, you can expect the market to return to that point in the following days. By using this as one of our anomaly tactics, opportunities to profit increase.
Furthermore, our trading tactics include 13 strategies, including Missed Pivot. We have strategies that cover everything from scalping to day trading, with a focus on tangible, rational foundations for how each strategy works. It’s not just intuition or experience; there’s a clear logic behind each.
Thus, although Pivot Indicators themselves may seem dull at first glance and not easy to apply directly to trading, understanding their essence and using them appropriately makes them a powerful weapon. And by employing anomaly tactics like Missed Pivot, you can further improve trading accuracy.