ケリー資金管理型ドル円スキャルピング_M1

ケリー資金管理型ドル円スキャルピング_M1

ケリー資金管理型ドル円スキャルピング_M1 Auto Trading
Sales performance 0 Book
Review ★ 0.0 (0)
Expert Advisors
MetaTrader 5
Sales from
9/5/2026
Last Updated At
9/6/2026
Version
1.00
My Profile
押入れくん
  • Whole period
  • 2 years
  • 1 year
  • 6 months
  • 3 months
  • 1 month
Profit
:  -11,100JPY
Profit Factor
:  0.73
Rate of return risk  ?
:  -0.54
Average Profit
:  2,731JPY
Average Loss
:  -6,857JPY
Balance  ?
:  988,900JPY
Rate of return (all periods) ?
:  -2.86%
Win Rate
:  64.71% (11/17)
Maximum Position  ?
:  1
Maximum Drawdown  ?
:  5.31% (20,735JPY)
Maximum Profit
:  9,288JPY
Maximum Loss
:  -10,010JPY
Recommended Margin  ?
:  387,916JPY
Unrealized P/L
:  0JPY
Deposit  ?
:  1,000,000JPY
Currency
:  JPY- Account
Operable Brokers
Usable with MT5-adopting brokers.

Forward testing (Profit)

Product Statistics
Product Comments

Monthly Statistics

2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
  • Jan
  • Feb
  • Mar
  • Apr
  • May
  • Jun
  • Jul
  • Aug
  • Sep
  • Oct
  • Nov
  • Dec

Calendar for Months

About EA's Strategy

Translating...

Currency Pairs
[USD/JPY]
Trading Style
[Scalping]
Maximum Number Position
1
Maximum Lot
10
Chart Time Frame
M1
Maximum Stop Loss
18
Take Profit
60
Straddle Trading
No
Application Type
Metatrader Auto Trading
Other File Usages
No

はじめに:本システムの設計思想

外国為替相場の未来を正確に予測することは極めて困難です。
本システム「ケリー資金管理型ドル円スキャルピング M1」は、相場の将来を楽観視して過大な利益を狙うのではなく、「いかに損失を限定し、相場急変時に被害を最小限に抑えるか」という防御の視点を最優先にして構築いたしました。

ナンピンやマーチンゲールといった急激に資金を失うリスクのある手法は一切採用せず、「常に最大1ポジション」で取引を完結させる手堅い設計を基本としています。

基本仕様とリスク管理機能

  • 対象通貨・時間足:USDJPY(米ドル/円) / M1(1分足)専用
  • 保有ポジション数:最大1ポジション(ナンピン・両建てなし)
  • 最大ストップロス(SL):18 pips(予期せぬ突発急変でも損失を厳格に限定)
  • 90分タイムストップ:ポジション保有から90分が経過した場合、泥沼化を防ぐため自動的に成行決済を行います。
  • スマート建値逃げ:含み益が +5.5 pipsに達した時点で、SLを「建値 +1.5 pips」へ自動移動させ、利益の確保を図ります。
  • トレーリングストップ:含み益が +8.5 pipsを超えた後は、2.0 pips刻みで追従し、利益の取りこぼしを抑えます。
  • 3連敗サーキットブレーカー:万が一3回連続で損失となった場合、相場環境の乱れと判断し、30分間エントリーを停止して口座を保護します。

ロジックの概要:時間帯ごとの役割分担

ドル円は時間帯によって「レンジになりやすい時間」と「トレンドが出やすい時間」が分かれる傾向があります。本EAでは、状況に応じて2つのアプローチを切り替えます。

① 東京深夜・早朝のレンジ逆張り
相場が比較的穏やかな時間帯において、ボリンジャーバンド(2.2σ)とRSI、上位足(M5)のボラティリティ収縮を確認し、ハースト指数によって「平均回帰相場」と判定された場合のみエントリーします。利益目標は12 pipsと小さめに設定し、早めの手仕舞いを目指します。
② 欧州・NY時間のモメンタム順張り
市場の商いが活発になる時間帯において、短期・中期・長期の移動平均線の並びと直近高値・安値のブレイクを確認。さらにカルマンフィルターによる平滑化価格とハースト指数のトレンド判定を併用し、勢いのある局面のみに限定して順張りで追従します。

4大ロジック非相関ポートフォリオの客観検証データ

単一のEAだけに資金を集中させると、そのロジックが相場と噛み合わない時期に資産が停滞しやすくなります。
当開発チームでは、「通貨ペアの分散(USDJPY × EURUSD)」×「時間軸の分散(M1スキャル × H1スイング)」による4大ロジックの非相関ポートフォリオを構築し、日次確定損益(Daily PnL)に基づくピアソンの積率相関係数を算出いたしました。

ロジック名 通貨・足 ① ドル円M1 ② ユーロドルM1 ③ ユーロドルH1 ④ ドル円H1 相関評価
① ドル円スキャル M1(本作) USDJPY (M1) 1.000 -0.053 +0.006 +0.023 理想的な逆相関・無相関
② ユーロドルスキャル M1 EURUSD (M1) -0.053 1.000 +0.004 -0.032 理想的な逆相関・無相関
③ ユーロドルスイング H1 EURUSD (H1) +0.006 +0.004 1.000 +0.027 完全無相関
④ ドル円スイング H1 USDJPY (H1) +0.023 -0.032 +0.027 1.000 理想的な逆相関・無相関
💡 金融工学に基づく驚異的な相殺効果
・統計学上、相関係数が0.10未満の数値は「互いに独立(無相関)」と見なされます。
・本EAはユーロドルM1とは逆相関(-0.053)、同じドル円のH1スイングとも完全無相関(+0.023)を保っています。
★ 4大ロジック合算純利益:+60,526,245 円(資産 7.05倍達成!)。単体運用はもちろん、他ロジックと組み合わせることで相互のドローダウンを劇的に相殺する強固なポートフォリオを構築できます。

ご利用にあたっての留意事項

  • バックテストおよび過去の相関検証データは、過去一定期間の実績に基づくシミュレーションであり、将来の相場環境や利益を保証するものではありません。
  • M1(1分足)スキャルピングという性質上、取引コスト(スプレッドやスリッページ)の影響を強く受けます。極力スプレッドの狭い低スプレッド口座・ECN環境での運用を推奨いたします。
  • 初期設定はケリー基準による複利計算(リスク1.0%)となっておりますが、相場環境に慣れるまでは固定ロット(0.10Lot等の単利運用)から開始されることを推奨いたします。
  • 十分な余剰資金の範囲内で、無理のない運用計画をお立てください。
¥29,800 (taxed)
10left
Next price: (Tax Inc.)
$undefined ¥50,000
Provider/Distributor:
Sales site:

●Payment

Mastercard Visa JCB Bank FamilyMart D2 D1
Forward Test
Back Test
¥29,800 (taxed)
10left
Next price: (Tax Inc.)
$undefined ¥50,000
Provider/Distributor:
Sales site:

●Payment

Mastercard Visa JCB Bank FamilyMart D2 D1
About Forex Automated Trading
Forex Automated Trading refers to trading that is automated through programming, incorporating predetermined trading and settlement rules. There are various methods to conduct automated trading, but at GogoJungle, we deal with Experts Advisors (hereinafter referred to as EA) that operate on a trading platform called MT4.
There are various types of EAs (Expert Advisors) for different trading types that can be used on MT4.
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.

To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)

When engaging in Forex, there are risks in automated trading just as there are in discretionary trading.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.

[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.

・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.

[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.

・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.

・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.


[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.

・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
The requirements for operating automated trading (EA) on MT4 are as follows:
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
If you open an account with a forex broker that supports MT4, you can use MT4 as provided by that forex broker. MT4 is a stand-alone type of software that needs to be installed on your computer, so you download the program file from the website of the FX company where you opened the account and install it on your computer.

Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
To set up an EA when you purchase it through GogoJungle, follow the steps below:
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.

Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.

The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).

Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.

If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
EAs from GogoJungle can be used with one real account and one demo account per EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.

To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.

When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
If you encounter an error with Web authentication, or if the EA is trading on GogoJungle's forward performance page but not on your own account, there could be various reasons. For more details, please refer to the following link:
 → Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
In Forex trading, the size of a lot is usually:

1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units

For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Profit Factor: Total Profit ÷ Total Loss
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
■ Important Matters and Risk Warnings Regarding Investment Products 【Financial Instruments Business Operator】
GogoJungle Inc.
Registration: Director-General of the Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Financial Instruments Business) No. 1960
【Member Association】
Investment Trusts Association, Japan
【Fees and Expenses】
The use of software, e-books, investment advisory services, etc., provided on our platform involves purchase prices determined for each product.
Additionally, when conducting actual financial instrument transactions (such as FX or CFD trading), costs such as transaction fees and spreads (the difference between the sell and buy price) may be incurred through the connected brokerage firms.
【Margin and Risk of Loss】
Transactions such as FX (Foreign Exchange Margin Trading) and CFD (Contract for Difference) allow for trading in amounts exceeding the deposited margin.
Therefore, due to sudden fluctuations in target indices (currency, commodity prices, etc.), there is a risk of incurring losses that exceed the deposited margin (loss exceeding principal).
Furthermore, financial instrument transactions involve risks such as price fluctuations, which may result in losses falling below or exceeding the initial investment principal.
【Nature of Services and Trading Entity】
The Company operates a platform (marketplace) providing investment software and information; we do not engage in the buying, selling, mediation, brokerage, or agency of financial instruments on behalf of customers.
The services and information provided are intended as reference for investment decisions and do not guarantee future profits or specific results.
While some services include investment advice, they do not constitute a mandate or solicitation to trade specific financial instruments.
Final investment decisions and the execution of trades must be made at the customer’s own risk and discretion.