暴れ馬ポンド円ハンター
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Profit
:
636,057JPYProfit Factor
:
1.17Rate of return risk
?
:
1.1Average Profit
:
25,120JPYAverage Loss
:
-32,330JPYBalance
?
:
1,636,057JPYRate of return (all periods)?
:
28.37%Win Rate
:
60.09%
(140/233)
Maximum Position
?
:
4Maximum Drawdown
?
:
18.02%
(580,142JPY)
Maximum Profit
:
145,000JPYMaximum Loss
:
-59,200JPYRecommended Margin
?
:
2,241,760JPYUnrealized P/L
:
0JPYDeposit
?
:
1,000,000JPYCurrency
:
JPY- Account
Operable Brokers
Usable with MT4-adopting brokers.
Forward testing (Profit)
Product Statistics
Product Comments
Monthly Statistics
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
Currency Pairs
[GBP/JPY]
Trading Style
[Day Trading]
[Swing Trading]
Maximum Number Position
4
Maximum Lot
5
Chart Time Frame
M15
Maximum Stop Loss
0
Take Profit
0
Straddle Trading
No
Application Type
Metatrader Auto Trading
Other File Usages
No
まず、開発経緯をお話いたします。
2020年2月に金融先物取引業協会から発表された2020年1月の日本の店頭外国証拠金取引の通貨ペア別の出来高のシェアによると、ドル円が58%と半分以上を占め、次いでポンド円が22%、豪ドル円が6％、ユーロ円が4％とドル円、クロス円が9割程度となっています。
EAの運用では、流動性の高い通貨ペアを取引することは、重要なポイントの一つです。そして、もう一つ重要なことは、値動きが盛んであること。大きな利益を取っていくためには、大きく値が動いてくれた方が都合がよいのです。
一般的にポンドは、ユーロや米ドル、円と比べると値動きが荒いことから、「悪魔の通貨」とも呼ばれることがありますが、本EAは、その値動きの激しさを利用すれば、大きく稼げるのではないかと注目しました。
そして、次に重要なことは、外国為替取引における国別の取引量です。
上図をご覧いただくと、日本（つまり東京市場）の取引量が、他国と比べてとても少ないことがお分かりいただけるかと存じます。
ポンド円を取引対象にする場合、これは、何を意味するのでしょうか。
まず、考えなければならないのは、ポンド円が、クロス円通貨ペアであることです。つまり、
ポンド円を取引する場合、間に国際基軸通貨である米ドルを介さなければなりません。
そして、ポンドを一番取引するのは、英国、米ドルを一番取引するのは、米国であることは、当然のことです。
ということは、ポンドは、ロンドン時間、米ドルはニューヨーク時間に一番動きやすい。つまり、この２市場時間の売買量が大きい。
そして、東京市場は、ロンドン、ニューヨーク市場より圧倒的に取引量が小さい。ここから先の詳細は、秘匿情報なので明かせませんが、
市場別・通貨別の取引規模によって生ずるポンド円の特性を突いて、本EA「暴れ馬ポンド円ハンター」を開発しました。
計測期間 ： 2015年1月～2024年2月 対象通貨ペア ： GBP/JPY
取引回数 ： 1,053 プロフィットファクター ： 1.50
勝率 ： 売りポジション勝率(%) 64.10% 買いポジション勝率(%) 62.14% ロット設定 ： 0.5Lot（5万通貨）固定 損益（円） ： +8,623,584円
計測期間 ： 2015年1月～2024年2月 対象通貨ペア ： GBP/JPY
取引回数 ： 1,053 プロフィットファクター ： 1.39
勝率 ： 売りポジション勝率(%) 65.40% 買いポジション勝率(%) 61.99%
ロット設定 ： リスク率3.0%での複利運用 損益（円） ： + 15,798,162円
統計学でいわれる「有意性」があるとは、統計的解析においては、観察された影響をその確実性について評価し、それが偶然に生じ得る確率はどの程度か（有意性のレベル）を決定します。 偶然によって生ずる確率が低い場合には「統計的に有意」と呼ばれ、真の影響を示すとみなされます。トレーディング・スピリットのEAでは、バックテストの結果が、「確率的に偶然とは考えにくく、多数回トレードすることで、トータルで利益を上げることができると優位なロジックであると判断したEAのみ採用しています。
そして、バックテストの検証期間として10年以上、試行回数（トレード回数）1,000回以上を最低限の基準としいます。
※グリッド系のEAについては、対象とする通貨ペアが想定レンジの形成期間が影響するので、必ずしも１０年以上とはならないことをご承知おきください。
意図的に過去のデータに合わせて、エントリーポイントを絞るおとで高プロフィットファクターなロジックを構成することは可能ですが、そのようにして作られたEAは、実際のトレードで収益をあげていくことはできないでしょう。
ナンピンやマーチンゲール手法を用いたEAはリスクの管理が難しく、初心者向けのEAとは言えません。
こうした手法のロジックがどういうものかについては、本論から外れますので解説は省略しますが、中には短期間のトレードで全資金を失ってしまう粗悪なEAも存在する
ようですので、十分な注意が必要です。
なお、ポンド円ハンターは、ナンピンなし、マーチンゲールなしのロジックですので、過度のリスクを取ることなく比較的安全な運用ができます。
当たり前のことですが、ポンド円ハンターの購入にあたっては、GogoJungleの該当ページで公開しているフォワードテストの結果も参考にされた上で、ご検討ください。
次に、実際に運用を開始する前に、ご理解いただきたい資産増加の特徴についてお話いたします。
どんなに優秀なシステムでも、資産曲線を短期的に観察してみると、利益を順調に上げて資産が増加している期間（プロフィットターム）、逆にシステムにとって苦手な相場環境にあって資産が目減りする期間（ドローダウンターム）、資産が増減を繰り返し平坦な期間（フラットターム）が存在します。
ですので、運用開始後、すぐにプロフィットゾーンになる場合もあれば、そうでない場合もございます。この点をご理解の上、中・長期で利益を上げるスタンス運用ください。
そうすることで、無用なストレスを避けることもできます。
はじめにお読みください（PDFファイル 2ページ）
設定マニュアル（PDFファイル 4ページ）
トレーディングプログラム（ex4ファイル）
※製品は全てダウンロードのみでのご提供となります。
ソフトウェア動作環境
CPU:Core2 Duo 1.8GHz以上
メモリ:2GB以上
HDD:空き容量1GB以上
OS:Windows XP,WindowsVista,Windows 7/8/10
Sales from
:
01/20/2024 18:55
Purchased: 1times
Price:￥29,800 (taxed)
About 1-Click Order
●Payment
Forward Test
Back Test
Sales from : 01/20/2024 18:55
Purchased: 1times
Price:￥29,800 (taxed)
About 1-Click Order
●Payment
About Forex Automated Trading
What is Forex Automated Trading (MT4 EA)?
Forex Automated Trading refers to trading that is automated through programming, incorporating predetermined trading and settlement rules. There are various methods to conduct automated trading, but at GogoJungle, we deal with Experts Advisors (hereinafter referred to as EA) that operate on a trading platform called MT4.
Trading Types of Forex Automated Trading
There are various types of EAs (Expert Advisors) for different trading types that can be used on MT4.
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
Risks, Advantages, and Disadvantages of Forex Automated Trading
When engaging in Forex, there are risks in automated trading just as there are in discretionary trading.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
Equipment and Environment Needed for Automated Trading Operation
The requirements for operating automated trading (EA) on MT4 are as follows:
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Installation of MT4 and Account Login
If you open an account with a forex broker that supports MT4, you can use MT4 as provided by that forex broker. MT4 is a stand-alone type of software that needs to be installed on your computer, so you download the program file from the website of the FX company where you opened the account and install it on your computer.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
How to Install EA on MT4
To set up an EA when you purchase it through GogoJungle, follow the steps below:
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
In Case You Want to Change the Account in Use
EAs from GogoJungle can be used with one real account and one demo account per EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
Solutions for Errors During Web Authentication or Non-Functional Account Trading
If you encounter an error with Web authentication, or if the EA is trading on GogoJungle's forward performance page but not on your own account, there could be various reasons. For more details, please refer to the following link:
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
About the Size of Trading Lots
In Forex trading, the size of a lot is usually:
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
Glossary of Automated Trading
・Profit Factor: Total Profit ÷ Total Loss
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
Useful related pages
・How to Install MT4 EA (Expert Advisor) and Indicators
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
