Hokutosei's Practical Forex Trading－USD/JPY “Anticipating Bank of Japan policy change, below 155”
FX
■Position changes and signs - June 4, 2024
In the morning in Tokyo, the yen is weak against the dollar. As European time approaches, the yen is appreciating across the board and the dollar is appreciating. From New York to London, the yen appreciated against the dollar across the board. At the close in New York, the yen appreciated against the dollar.
The dollar yen confirmed its return high of 156.49 today. Falling below the 156 and 155 levels.
The yen buying is accelerating due to a Bloomberg report stating, ``Bank of Japan may consider concrete reduction in government bond purchases at a meeting as early as this month,'' sources said.
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■Current position
6/3－SELL＠156.80
(LAST＠154.88）
Decline confirmation point-155.29 Return resistance-155.75
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■Positioning record 2024
5/31－BUY＠157.25
5/30－SELL＠157.00
5/17－BUY＠155.60
5/15－SELL＠156.30
5/06－BUY＠153.40
5/01－SELL＠156.25
4/30－BUY＠156.77
4/29－SELL＠156.36
4/05－BUY＠151.63
4/04－SELL＠151.33
4/01－BUY＠151.39
3/27－SELL＠151.35
3/12－BUY＠146.90
3/05－SELL＠150.11
3/04－BUY＠150.43
2/29－SELL＠150.55
2/21－BUY＠150.16
2/20－SELL＠150.01
2/19－BUY＠150.10
2/15－SELL＠150.48
2/07－BUY＠148.03
2/06－SELL＠148.44
2/02－BUY＠146.70
1/31－SELL＠147.41
1/30－BUY＠147.60
1/29－SELL＠147.71
1/25－BUY＠147.65
1/24－SELL＠147.95
1/15－BUY＠145.11
1/12－SELL＠145.35
1/09－BUY＠144.45
1/08－SELL＠144.63
1/02－BUY＠141.50
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■Trading method
[Basic concept]
When rising, use the previous day's true range value of 0.618...
The price subtracted from the previous day's high price supports the downside.
The price added to the previous day's low price is the confirmation point for resuming the rise.
When falling, the previous day's true range value of 0.618...
The price subtracted from the previous day's high price is the confirmation point for the resumption of decline.
The price added to the previous day's low is the resistance to reversal.
[Buying and selling policy]
When rising, push the downward price support to rise confirmation point to the formation zone and take a buying stance.
At the time of a decline, move the decline restart confirmation point to the return resistance to the return formation zone and sell stance.
If there is an anti-trend movement that exceeds the reversal resistance and downside support, there will be a counter buy and sell.
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