Hokutosei's Practical Forex Trading－USD/JPY “Dollar strengthens after FOMC meeting minutes ”
FX
■Position changes and signs - May 22, 2024
In the morning in Tokyo, the yen is weak against the dollar. As European time approaches, the yen weakens across the board and the dollar weakens. From NY to London fixes, the dollar is strong. At the close in NY, the dollar appreciated across the board.
After 3:00 PM in Tokyo, dollar-yen buying began, followed by pound-buying and dollar selling. In New York, there was a shift to dollar buying, and after the FOMC minutes, the dollar appreciated across the board.
Expectations for US interest rates to be cut within this year recede. In addition, Nvidia's financial results accelerated its dollar buying.
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■Current position
5/17－BUY＠155.60
(LAST＠156.80）
Downside support-156.40 Rising confirmation points-156.55
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■Positioning record
5/15－SELL＠156.30
5/06－BUY＠153.40
5/01－SELL＠156.25
4/30－BUY＠156.77
4/29－SELL＠156.36
4/05－BUY＠151.63
4/04－SELL＠151.33
4/01－BUY＠151.39
3/27－SELL＠151.35
3/12－BUY＠146.90
3/05－SELL＠150.11
3/04－BUY＠150.43
2/29－SELL＠150.55
2/21－BUY＠150.16
2/20－SELL＠150.01
2/19－BUY＠150.10
2/15－SELL＠150.48
2/07－BUY＠148.03
2/06－SELL＠148.44
2/02－BUY＠146.70
1/31－SELL＠147.41
1/30－BUY＠147.60
1/29－SELL＠147.71
1/25－BUY＠147.65
1/24－SELL＠147.95
1/15－BUY＠145.11
1/12－SELL＠145.35
1/09－BUY＠144.45
1/08－SELL＠144.63
1/02－BUY＠141.50
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■Trading method
[Basic concept]
When rising, use the previous day's true range value of 0.618...
The price subtracted from the previous day's high price supports the downside.
The price added to the previous day's low price is the confirmation point for resuming the rise.
When falling, the previous day's true range value of 0.618...
The price subtracted from the previous day's high price is the confirmation point for the resumption of decline.
The price added to the previous day's low is the resistance to reversal.
[Buying and selling policy]
When rising, push the downward price support to rise confirmation point to the formation zone and take a buying stance.
At the time of a decline, move the decline restart confirmation point to the return resistance to the return formation zone and sell stance.
If there is an anti-trend movement that exceeds the reversal resistance and downside support, there will be a counter buy and sell.
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