Chronos_Sc USDJPY

【Concept】Chronos Scorpion USDJPY（クロノス・スコーピオン USDJPY）は、21期間移動平均線のブレイクアウトを起点に、統計的優位性を徹底検証したエントリーロジックを搭載したEA（自動売買ツール）です。 シンプルながら奥深い移動平均線の本質的な優位性に着目し、独自開発の複合フィルター群で現代の為替市場に最適化。単なるMAクロスではなく、「統計的に本当に優位性があるタイミング」だけを狙い撃ちする、精密なエントリー戦略を実現しました。 USDJPY 1時間足という流動性の高い時間軸で運用可能なこのEAは、私トレーダーヒロが長期的な統計優位性を重視して研究を重ね、最適化を経て完成させた戦略です。 本EAは2010年1月～2025年10月のバックテストで、驚異のリカバリーファクター「42.23」を達成しています。これは優秀基準の約3倍以上という、圧倒的なリスク対リターン効率を意味します。 さらにプロフィットファクター1.79という安定した収益性と、総取引数1,655回という豊富なサンプル数が、この戦略の統計的信頼性を裏付けています。 0.1Lot（1万通貨）運用で最大ドローダウンはわずか3.45%（40,152円）と極めて低く抑えられており、長期運用に耐えうる卓越した安定性を実証しています。【Long-term Backtest Results】・Approximately 15 years 9 months of full tick (TDS) backtesting conducted ・Outstanding Recovery Factor 42.23 (about 2.8 times the excellence standard of 15) ・High-precision validation with modeling quality 99.90% using TDS ・Stable profitability with Profit Factor 1.79 ・Statistical reliability from over 1,600 total trades ・Low-risk design with a maximum drawdown of 3.45% (40,152 yen) 【Why the 21-Period Moving Average?】

🎯 Simple indicator × Composite Statistical Filters The moving average is the most fundamental technical indicator that traders around the world pay attention to. In particular, the 21-period MA is supported by many professional traders as a sweet spot for capturing short-term trends. However, a simple MA breakout is not enough. Chronos Scorpion USDJPY determines, at the moment the candles break above or below the 21-period moving average, whether the price action has an edge, and, with our independently developed composite filters, achieves the following. ■ Thorough pursuit of statistical edge ・Statistically verify whether the price action after a breakout truly has an edge ・Adopt only patterns whose edge has been confirmed by long-term backtesting ・Set multiple filters to eliminate false signals ■ Filter usage that increases user profits ・Enhance decision accuracy by combining specific filters in a comprehensive way ・Execute entries that target timing with proven edge ・Adjustments that emphasize the long-term statistical edge on the USDJPY 1-hour chart This strategy is a solid, robust logic that, while built on the universal indicator of a simple moving average, pursues a real statistical edge that functions in today’s market environment. Chronos Scorpion USDJPY is a next-generation EA that merges the universal moving average indicator with modern statistical analysis techniques. It does not rely on flashy approaches like “gold averaging,” but its proven statistical edge over more than 15 years and its drawdown-limiting design enable exceptional risk management, achieving a Recovery Factor of 42.23 to protect and grow assets steadily over the long term. Moreover, this EA can be effectively used with fixed lot sizes, but its true value is realized with compounding.【Compounding Results】In a 15 years 9 months backtest, with a high-risk setting (for example, risk ratio setting: 130) for compounding: ・Initial margin 1,000,000 yen → about 11.3 billion yen In a low-risk setting (for example, risk ratio setting: 50) for compounding: ・Initial margin 1,000,000 yen → about 2.4 billion yen   【Quant Analyzer Analysis】Positives recorded every year across all years. 【Parameters】Daylight saving time methods cover three types of FX brokers: “US”, “UK”, and “GMT+0”. Take profit, stop loss, and trailing settings automatically adjust to the price level; for example, when USDJPY is at 150, these settings become 1.5x. Details are described in the manual included after purchase. 【Q&A】Q: What is the minimum required margin and the corresponding settings? A: In backtests spanning a little over 15 years, the maximum drawdown for 0.1 lots was 40,152 yen (401 pips). If you set a safety margin to limit drawdown losses to up to 20% of the balance for a 25x leverage account, the results are as follows: ・Account balance 1,000,000 yen → 0.5 lots (simple interest setting) ・Account balance 100,000 yen → 0.05 lots (simple interest setting) ・Account balance 20,000 yen → 0.01 lots (simple interest setting) Q: What is the recommended setting for the “risk ratio” in compounding settings? A: The risk ratio is calculated as “lot size ÷ funds (in ten-thousands of yen) × 10,000.” ・“10” … 0.01 lot per 100,000 yen of funds ・“50” … 0.05 lot per 100,000 yen ・“100” … 0.1 lot per 100,000 yen Because compounding adjusts the lot size automatically as funds decrease, it reduces risk compared with a simple interest approach. Depending on timing, backtests show that slightly higher risk ratio settings tend to yield better capital growth. Please verify the optimal setting with your own backtests. ・Conservative (30-45): Pursuit of low volatility and steady growth ・Balanced (45-70): Pursuit of balance between risk and return ・Aggressive (70-140): Take on risk for higher growth potential Q: What annual return can be expected with simple interest? A: Please note that this is based on backtest results. Using the first Q as a reference, with a 25x leverage account, an initial margin of 1,000,000 yen, and a fixed 0.5-lot simple interest over 15 years 9 months, the net profit was about 8,580,000 yen. Dividing gives about 530,000 yen per year. Considering 1,000,000 yen initial margin and 530,000 yen profit, the annual rate is about 53%. Please note that results vary with lot size and simple vs compound settings. Q: How to set up the daily report notification feature? A: Regarding email daily report notifications, this explanation assumes the use of Gmail. Enable two-factor authentication in Gmail and issue an app password. In MT4 go to Tools > Options > E-mail Settings, fill in the required fields, and press the “Test” button to ensure an email can be sent. (Yahoo Mail is also available; in that case, your login password can be used as is.)