Hermes for USDJPY
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
- Mar
- Apr
- May
- Jun
- Jul
- Aug
- Sep
- Oct
- Nov
- Dec
Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
⛀Concept
The concept is an EA that rides the flow without giving up.
When the flow goes against the positions held, humans need excellent emotional control to cut losses or reverse positions (holding a position opposite to the current one while closing the existing one).
"Hermes for USDJPY" aims to repeatedly reverse positions (holding a position opposite to the current one while closing the existing one) without giving up at key points, ultimately riding the larger flow.
⛀About the Logic
It remembers recent highs and lows, and when approaching those highs and lows, it enters in the trend direction while setting wide stop losses and take profits (160 pips).
If it moves in the opposite direction after entry and approaches the opposite side's highs and lows, it reverses and enters again in the trend direction.
Thus, it aims to ride the larger flow without giving up, accumulating profits with small losses and large gains.
Regarding trading hours, it does not trade for a few hours at the beginning of the week and after around 21:00 on weekends, and it does not carry positions over the weekend. (It only functions with brokers using GMT+2/+3 (U.S. daylight saving time))
⛀Trade Scene (Excerpt from Backtest)
⅛Displayed on a 1-hour chart for better visibility of the overall picture.
⅛For those on a computer, right-click and open the image in a new tab for better visibility.
⅛Red arrows and dotted lines indicate sell,blue arrows and dotted lines indicate buy,red horizontal lines indicate stop loss,blue horizontal lines indicate take profit.
⛀Parameter Explanation
Except for settings related to lot size, the default settings are generally fine.
| Parameter Name | Parameter Description | Default Setting |
| Magic Number | A number used to identify the EA when running multiple EAs on a single MetaTrader account. Please set it to avoid overlapping with other EAs. | 3600001 |
| Lot for Simple Interest Operation | When the compound interest flag is "false", the value set here will be used as a fixed lot size. | 0.1 |
| Allowed Spread (1=0.1 Pips) | You can set the allowable spread. | 20 |
| Compound Interest Flag | Set to "true" for compound interest operation, and "false" if not. If set to "true", the value set in "Lot for Simple Interest Operation" will be ignored. | false |
| Reference Capital for Compound Interest Operation | When the compound interest flag is "true", you can choose to use either excess margin or account balance as the reference capital for compound interest operation. | Excess Margin |
| Reference Capital for Betting 0.1 Lot in Compound Interest Operation | When the compound interest flag is "true", this sets how much capital is needed to bet 0.1 Lot. The lot size will increase as shown in the image below, and compound interest will be applied. Example 1: Setting Value 300000 (Default) Excess Margin 300000 ⊲ 0.10 Lot Excess Margin 450000 ⊲ 0.15 Lot Excess Margin 600000 ⊲ 0.20 Lot Example 2: Setting Value 150000 Excess Margin 300000 ⊲ 0.20 Lot Excess Margin 450000 ⊲ 0.30 Lot Excess Margin 600000 ⊲ 0.40 Lot Example 3: Setting Value 600000 Excess Margin 300000 ⊲ 0.05 Lot Excess Margin 450000 ⊲ 0.08 Lot Excess Margin 600000 ⊲ 0.10 Lot ⅛If it cannot be divided by the broker's minimum lot size, it will be rounded. | 300000 |
| Maximum Retry Count for New Orders | Limits the number of retries for new orders when they fail due to slippage, etc. If the number of failures exceeds the set value, it will give up on ordering until the next signal. | 30 |
| Number of Past Bars to Check at Startup | At startup, the EA explores past bars to remember highs and lows, and you can set the number of bars to check. It is kept as a parameter just in case, but generally, the default is fine. | 3000 |
⛀Simple Interest Operation Backtest Results (Default)
⅛This EA operates only on the opening price, excluding order retries (which are difficult to reproduce in backtests), so it is tested on "opening price only".
⛀Compound Interest Operation Backtest Results
Initial margin "1000000",If "Reference Capital for Betting 0.1 Lot in Compound Interest Operation" = "300000" (0.1 Lot for every 300,000 capital)
⛀Other Notes
・This EA only operates normally when executed on a 5-minute chart.
・This EA is recommended for use with brokers using GMT+2/+3 (U.S. daylight saving time).
・If you close and restart MT4, positions will not be automatically closed. If there are existing positions after restarting, the logic will resume as is.
・This EA supports manual closing. After a manual close, it will enter as appropriate on the next signal. Please be aware that if the next signal is close, there is a possibility of re-entering immediately after closing.
・The operation of the EA may vary due to differences in distribution rates by broker and differences in execution environments (communication speed, processing speed, etc.).
・Regarding weekend carryovers, it does not account for market closures, so if you do not wish to carry over, please manually close the positions at your discretion.
⛀Q&A
・The "Expert" log outputs a message containing "array out of range" and fails to start.
This seems to occur when the value of "Maximum Bars in Chart" in MT4 settings "Tools" ⊲ "Options" ⊲ "Charts" ⊲ "Maximum Bars in Chart" or the number of bars saved in MT4 (historical data) is less than the EA parameter setting "Number of Past Bars to Check at Startup" of "3000". Changing the value of "Maximum Bars in Chart" or supplementing the historical data will resolve the issue when you start it again. In some environments, scrolling the displayed chart back a certain distance may also supplement it. We apologize for the inconvenience, and thank you for your cooperation.
・When performing backtests with TDS (Tick Data Suite) using "All Ticks", it outputs "array out of range" and fails.
Currently, there have been reports of failures when performing backtests with "TDS" and "All Ticks", but this is currently considered a specification.
We apologize for not being able to meet your request, but please conduct backtests using "opening price only". For reference, this EA operates based on the opening price generation, so the results will be the same whether backtesting with "All Ticks" or "opening price only".
・The modeling quality of the backtest image shows "n/a", is it unreliable?
This EA operates based on the opening price generation, so backtests are conducted using "opening price only", but due to MT4's specifications, when backtesting with "opening price only", it mechanically displays the modeling quality as "n/a".
Due to MT4's specifications, it is displayed as "n/a", but generally, when testing an EA that operates on "opening price only" with "opening price only", it does not have much impact, so please rest assured.
・Is it possible to manually input stop loss and take profit?
The developer considered implementing this, but since stop loss and take profit are part of the logic, changing them would significantly degrade performance, and it was found that the logic would need to be completely revised to implement it, so it was abandoned.
Therefore, it is currently not possible to manually input them, and there are no plans to implement this in the future.
We will take this demand into account for future development.
⛀Version Update History
Version 1.1
・Fixed an issue where the next entry after EA restart or manual closing might not occur at the intended timing of the logic.
Version 1.0
・New release
Thank you for your attention.
The coupon expires today.
Price: $153.15 (taxed)
¥24,800(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 10/02/2024 23:06
Price: $153.15 (taxed)
¥24,800(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
