AI USDJPY

Notes

USD/JPY,1Hour chartAIprediction-basedEAso

it does not perform well with other currency pairs or time frames.

This EA is specialized for trading USD/JPY on the1hour chart.EA.

Features

・Strong in predicting range breaks.

・However, it cannot cope with movements that ignore previous candlesticks, such as employment statistics, so it is recommended to use it when there are no major indicators.

・The USD/JPY tends to gradually rise in an uptrend, so it is quite accurate with long positions.

・Conversely, downtrends often drop suddenly due to interventions, making trend prediction difficult, so it is not recommended.

There are various indicators, but no one taught us when to trade based on their values.

I also experimented through trial and error, but now it is the age ofAI.

The above was predicted usingAI.

It accurately predicts the timing of long and short positions and trades accordingly.

First, I will share the logic behind it.

Below, the horizontal axis shows the predicted rise, and the vertical axis shows the actual rise after5days.

Both units are in yen.

Each dot represents the prediction result for one piece of data. The more dots plotted along the diagonal, the smaller the error.

The data is the prediction result of2012to2024in1hour intervals byAI.

The prediction accuracy above is expressed numerically as follows.

The coefficient of determination0.954is phenomenal. (1is a perfect correlation)

The above results are achieved using multiple indicators and multiple indicator parameters

and are used for this decision.

Although the specific details cannot be disclosed

the contribution of each indicator and its parameters

is calculated as follows usingAI.

To give you a feel, here is one example.

The famousStandard Deviation(standard deviation).

【General Explanation】

　Standard deviation measures market volatility.

　　This indicator shows the magnitude of price changes around the moving average line.

　　Therefore, when the value of the indicator increases,

　　market volatility also expands, and prices fluctuate around the moving average.

The point of the above explanation is thatStandard

Deviationalone

cannot tell whether it is an uptrend or downtrend.

However,AIprediction shows that this is not the case.

The result of how the value ofStandard Deviationcalculated with certain parameters contributes to the rise after

5days.

The orange1indicates that when the value is between1.75and3.62, it predicts that the value will decrease after5days.

This is anAIprediction without considering the trend of rise or fall.

By combining the above predictions with another indicator for upward and downward trends,

I created an indicator, and it alone allowed me to create a highly accurateEA.

This EA uses combinations of effective patterns from the above examples to determine buy and sell timing.

9combinations are used to make buy/sell predictions and entries.

Subsequently, additional buy/sell orders are made at fixed intervals.

Supplementary information is displayed on the screen, showing which way the current buy/sell prediction is leaning.

The supplementary information is divided into three lines: 【00

means no trend,1means buy, and -1means sell. The rightmost value represents the overall trend judgment.

In this example,3candles show -2indicating a strong sell trend.

EAentry conditions are as follows:

Buy entry conditions

Supplementary information 【02

02

01

Opposite of buy conditions.

Supplementary information 【02

02

01

Orders are made based on the margin maintenance rate set in the parameters.

This is the entry strategy.

Next, I will explain the parameters for entry.

It is recommended to use the default values.

   Order intervals and order condition maintenance rate. The default value is0.1. For example, after taking a buy position,0.1yen rise triggers the next buy entry. Another0.1yen rise triggers an additional buy entry. However, if the order condition maintenance rate falls below the set rate, additional entries are not made.

   Enable/disable additional orders, maximum number of positions/maximum number of positions can be specified.Enabling/disabling additional orders/and specifying the maximum number of positions can be controlled.

   Maximum lot size1per entry.

However, as the initial entry is made up to the order condition maintenance rate, it is not necessary to change this sensitively.

true:Enable buy orders,true:enable sell ordersSet this if you want only buy, only sell, or both. Long-term USD/JPY tends to be an uptrend, so 1per entry.It is recommended to operate with buy only or both buy and sell.Sell only can also be profitable but is not recommended.

Next, I will explain the settlement conditions.

Even if entries are predicted byAI, there are unexpected price movements, so stop-loss conditions are properly set.

Settlement conditions are analyzed usingAIbased on backtest results. Below is the accuracy of theAIanalysis results.

In the backtest results, some parameter settings achieved a maximum profit of over200million, but this is likely coincidental and not reproducible, so

The initial values in the red frame above are set to approximately 50 million yen profits. Below are the contributions of the settings to profit; adjust your settings accordingly.

Set values that contribute to an increase.

・Stop-loss value for buy positions (unit: yen)

Stop-loss setting for buy positions.

For example, if you take a buy position at150yen and this setting value is1,1yen decline will trigger a stop-loss.Below is the contribution of this setting value to profit;1~5values contribute positively to profit. Set it according to your preference within this range.

Set values that contribute to an increase.

・Stop-loss value for sell positions (unit: yen)

Stop-loss setting for sell positions.

For example, if you take a sell position at150yen and this setting value is1,1yen rise will trigger a stop-loss.

Below is the contribution of this setting value to profit;1~3values contribute positively to profit. Set it according to your preference within this range.

Set values that contribute to an increase.

・Buy positionTrailstart rate, sell positionTrailstart rate

A trailing stop is used for settlement. The condition is set based on the percentage of profit relative to the account balance.

For example, if the account balance is1,000,000yen, and the setting value is0.1,1,000,000*0.1=100,000yen profit will start the trailing stop.100,000yen profit will start the trailing stop.

Below is the contribution of the buy