フランスの数学者が発明した手法を取り入れたシステム修正版
- Whole period
- 2 years
- 1 year
- 6 months
- 3 months
- 1 month
Forward testing (Profit)
Monthly Statistics
- Jan
- Feb
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- May
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- Aug
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Calendar for Months
About EA's Strategy
Translating...
2121/08/25
GBPUSD continues to lose and should be stopped.
I will continue with the forward verification of Mr. Gogojan.
Since we have been winning except for the GBPUSD loss
Please have the buyer fully examine the product for himself/herself!
Apr 11, 2021
Ver3.3 Version Upgrade Information
The number of lots to change when investing in pyramiding can now be changed.
Spread filter has been introduced
Changed settings for AUDUSD due to low trading volume
6 EA sets are now on sale at a special price!
This is a set for 6 currency pairs of a system created with only advantage in mind!
This is a great set that you can build a portfolio with just this one!
It is really difficult to create a system where profit and loss are exactly the same without any pinching.
Most of them have small profit and loss, and even if they don't, the profit is small due to internal settlement.
The fact that this result is achieved while there is a spread between TP=SL is a good sign.
I think it is a proof that you are taking a position in a very good situation.
I only use moving averages to see the magnitude of price movements.
I don't use any other indicators.
I expect that I will be able to achieve consistent results in all market conditions.
The system uses the pyramid method (d'Alembert method) for lot placement.
Bug fixed version uploaded on October 31, 2020
The pyramid method is a gambling strategy developed by Jean Le Rond d'Alembert (1717.11-1783.10), who was an expert in mathematics.
D'Alembert, who loved to gamble, researched and developed this technique in order to be a stable gambler.
It is also known as the pyramid method because it is a method of accumulating wins over time.
The pyramid method is a winning strategy in which you decrease your bet by one unit when you win and increase your bet by one unit when you lose.
If you win => Reduce your wager by 1 unit and bet on the next game
If you lose => increase your wager by 1 unit and bet on the next game
This will inevitably result in the winning trade being placed at the largest lot.
The pyramid method is characterized by the fact that it allows you to accumulate profits without exposing your own capital to much risk.
This method is suitable for long-term operations because it allows you to gradually accumulate profits even in the case of equal numbers of winning and losing trades.
The great thing about this method is that even if you lose one round, you will still have a profit.
I have been trying to find a way to even out the spread (commissions), swap rates, and leverage, which are the main factors that prevent me from winning in Forex.
I thought the pyramid method would be useful, so I incorporated it into the system.
If the basic TP = SL and the win rate is 50%, the pyramid method will almost certainly generate a profit.
However, it is extremely difficult to achieve a 50% winning rate with the same TP and SL in the presence of a spread.
The more trades you make, the more you lose on the spread.
This is a matter of course, and this is how the FX firms make their profits.
However, if you trade using the pyramid method, you can make a profit with a win rate of about 49.5%, so you can expect a lot from this method.
This is a method with high expectations.
The way to make a profit is totally different when you only need 49.5% to make a profit, instead of 51% or more with TP=SL.
Another advantage of this method is that it is possible to enter a currency pair that is far off from the other currency pair.
Of course, there will be cases where that currency pair moves first and the other currency pairs follow.
But if 6 currency pairs are used, it will be more likely to move toward the most common currency pair.
Backtests have shown that it is profitable.
But since it is a back test of 6 currency pairs, I am not sure if it is credible or not.
I am also skeptical about the credibility of the backtest.
How much difference between the two currency pairs is required for entry?
We also allow users to set up their own settings.
Of course, if you change the TP and SL, you can increase the winning rate as much as you want, and it is still unknown which ratio is better.
We also allow users to set the ratio of TP and SL.
Parameter settings (for USDCHF)
MAGIC1 571422 Magic number: Please do not share with other EAs. Please do not share with other EAs.
Lots1 0.15 Initial entry lot number
Slip 10 Allowable slippage
piramid true True if trading with pyramid method, false if trading with fixed lots
entryjikan false *Not used at this stage as it will be set in a future version of the software.
exitjikan false *Will not be used at this time as it will be set in a future version of the software.
Comment Comment, please enter any text you like.
TP1 50 Take profit
LC1 50 Loss Cut
KasanLots 0.01 Number of lots to add (subtract) when trading with pyramid method
kakakusa 25 Difference in movement of other currency pairs (the larger the difference, the more advantage you will have, but the less you will trade)
senko 3 Number of currency pairs with price differences (1-5)
MAXLOTS 0.3 Specifies the maximum lot size
volume_h 340 The number of lots to be entered only when volume is lower than this number. Only enter when volume is lower than this number
KYOYOUSPread 50 If the spread goes above this number, no position is taken
The asset graph in the backtest below shows that we always open both sides of a position and always keep the position open for profit or loss.
As you can see in the chart above, the spread usually goes down as the number of trades increases, which is natural since there is a spread.
Below is the asset curve for the same conditions, but with the D'Alembert method for lot size.
You can see that the d'Alembert method definitely has an edge.
I hope you can see the superiority of this method.
From top to bottom: USDCHF, AUDUSD, and AUDUSD, EURUSD, and EURUSD GBPUSD USDCAD, and USDJPY from the top
As of April 17, 2021
Forward results for each currency pair
EURUSD 18 wins, 12 losses, 60% win rate
USDCHF 26 wins, 19 losses, 58% win rate
USDCAD 14 wins, 10 losses, 58% win rate
GBPUSD 11-12, 48% win rate
USDJPY 8 wins, 3 losses, 77% win rate
AUDUSD 0-1, 0% chance of winning
If you have a certain currency pair ahead of you, you will probably lose.
I think you should stop currency pairs that you can't use yourself
Best regards
Price: $125.63 (taxed)
¥20,000(taxed)
●Payment
Sales from : 12/06/2020 01:31
Price: $125.63 (taxed)
¥20,000(taxed)
●Payment
Just like discretionary trading, there are those that decide trading and settlement timings by combining indicators, those that repeatedly buy or sell at certain price (pips) intervals, and trading methods that utilize market anomalies or temporal features. The variety is as rich as the methods in discretionary trading.
To categorize simply,
・Scalping (Type where trades are completed within a few minutes to a few hours),
・Day Trading (Type where trades are completed within several hours to about a day),
・Swing Trading (Type where trades are conducted over a relatively long period of about 1 day to 1 week)
・Grid/Martingale Trading (Holding multiple positions at equal or unequal intervals and settling all once a profit is made. Those that gradually increase the lot number are called Martingale.)
・Anomaly EA (Mid-price trading, early morning scalping)
However, a substantial advantage of automated trading is its ability to limit and predict risks beforehand.
[Risk]
Inherent to forex trading are the trading risks that undeniably exist in automated trading as well.
・Lot Size Risk
Increasing the lot size forcibly due to a high winning rate can, in rare instances, depending on the EA, lead to substantial Pips loss when a loss occurs. It is crucial to verify the SL Pips and the number of positions held before operating with an appropriate lot.
・Rapid Market Fluctuation Risk
There are instances where market prices fluctuate rapidly due to index announcements or unforeseen news. System trading does not account for such unpredictable market movements, rendering it incapable of making decisions on whether to settle in advance or abstain from trading. As a countermeasure, utilizing tools that halt the EA based on indicator announcements or the VIX (fear index) is also possible.
[Benefits]
・Operates 24 hours a day
If there is an opportunity, system trading will execute trades on your behalf consistently. It proves to be an extremely convenient tool for those unable to allocate time to trading.
・Trades dispassionately without being swayed by emotions
There is an absence of self-serving rule modifications, a common human tendency, such as increasing the lot size after consecutive losses in discretionary trading or, conversely, hastily securing profits with minimal gains.
・Accessible for beginners
To engage in Forex trading, there is no prerequisite to study; anyone using system trading will achieve the same results.
[Disadvantages]
・Cannot increase trading frequency at will
Since system trading operates based on pre-programmed conditions, depending on the type of EA, it might only execute trades a few times a month.
・Suitability may vary with market conditions
Depending on the trading type of the EA, there are periods more suited to trend trading and periods more suited to contrarian trading, making consistent results across all periods unlikely. While the previous year might have yielded good results, this year's performance might not be as promising, necessitating some level of discretion in determining whether it is an opportune time to operate.
・MT4 (MetaTrader 4. An account needs to be opened with a Forex company that offers MT4.)
・EA (A program for automated trading)
・The operating deposit required to run the EA
・A PC that can run 24 hours or a VPS (Virtual Private Server), where a virtual PC is hosted on a cloud server to run MT4.
Additionally, there are both demo and real accounts available. You can experience trading with virtual money by applying for a demo account. After opening a real account, you select the connection server assigned by the Forex broker, enter the password, and log in to the account.
When you deposit money into your account using the method specified by the forex broker, the funds will be reflected in your MT4 account, and you can trade.
Firstly, download the purchased EA file from your My Page on GogoJungle. You will download a zip (compressed) file, so right-click to extract it and retrieve the file named ‘◯◯◯ (EA name)_A19GAw09 (any 8 alphanumeric characters).ex4’ from inside.
Next, launch MT4 and navigate to ‘File’ → ‘Open Data Folder’ → ‘MQL4’ → ‘Experts’ folder, and place the ex4 file inside. Once done, close MT4 and restart it. Then, go to the upper menu ‘Tools’ → ‘Options’, and under ‘Expert Advisors’, ensure ‘Allow automated trading’ and ‘Allow DLL imports’ are checked, then press OK to close.
The necessary currency pair and time frame for the correct operation of the EA are specified on the EA sales page. Refer to this information and open the chart of the correct currency pair time frame (e.g., USDJPY5M for a USD/Yen 5-minute chart).
Within the menu navigator, under ‘Expert Advisors’, you will find the EA file name you placed earlier. Click to select it, then drag & drop it directly onto the chart to load the EA. Alternatively, you can double-click the EA name to load it onto the selected chart.
If ‘Authentication Success’ appears in the upper left of the chart, the authentication has been successful. To operate the EA, you need to keep your PC running 24 hours. Therefore, either disable the automatic sleep function or host MT4 on a VPS and operate the EA.
If you want to use it with an account other than the authenticated one, you need to reset the registered account.
To reset the account, close the MT4 where the Web authentication is registered, then go to My Page on GogoJungle > Use > Digital Contents > the relevant EA > press the ‘Reset’ button for the registration number, and the registered account will be released.
When the account is in a reset state, using the EA with another MT4 account will register a new account.
Also, you can reset the account an unlimited number of times.
→ Items to Check When EA is Not Operating
1 lot = 100,000 currency units
0.1 lot = 10,000 currency units
0.01 lot = 1,000 currency units
For USD/JPY, 1 lot would mean holding 100,000 dollars.
The margin required to hold lots is determined by the leverage set by the Forex broker.
If the leverage is 25 times, the margin required to hold 10,000 currency units of USD/JPY would be:
10000*109 (※ at a rate of 109 yen per dollar) ÷ 25 = 43,600 yen.
・Risk-Return Ratio: Total Profit and Loss during the period ÷ Maximum Drawdown
・Maximum Drawdown: The largest unrealized loss during the operation period
・Maximum Position Number: This is the maximum number of positions that the EA can theoretically hold at the same time
・TP (Take Profit): The set profit-taking Pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・SL (Stop Loss): The set maximum loss pips (or specified amount, etc.) in the EA's settings
・Trailing Stop: Instead of settling at a specified Pips, once a certain profit is made, the settlement SL is raised at a certain interval (towards the profit), maximizing the profit. It is a method of settlement.
・Risk-Reward Ratio (Payoff Ratio): Average Profit ÷ Average Loss
・Hedging: Holding both buy and sell positions simultaneously (Some FX companies also have types where hedging is not allowed)
・MT4 Beginner's Guide
・Understanding System Trading Performance (Forward and Backtesting)
・Choosing Your First EA! Calculating Recommended Margin for EAs
・Comparing MT4 Accounts Based on Spread, Swap, and Execution Speed
・What is Web Authentication?
・Checklist for When Your EA Isn't Working
