Tōmuki Takaaki 『Weekly Gold Price Outlook』 September 16, 2025 issue
This is the weekly report on gold price outlook by Takashi Kabuki, the president and representative director of Investment Daily Co., Ltd., and a renowned cycle analysis expert.
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This week's notable event is the FOMC meeting held locally on September 16-17; although a 0.25% rate cut has already been priced in, some expect up to 0.5%. This would be somewhat of a surprise. However, looking at the gold market’s rise, there is momentum to price in 0.5%.
Last week, the New York gold futures (near month) closed up $33.1 to $3,686.4. The high was $3,715.2, a record high. On a weekly basis, four consecutive bullish weeks since the week of August 18, and this Monday (the 15th) started with an uptick to $3,724.9. If the momentum continues, it is not uncommon to see 7–9 straight bullish weeks. What can be said is that in such rising scenarios, one should beware of a sharp drop afterward.
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【Takashi Kabuki — Profile】
Graduated from Kansai Gaidai University, Faculty of Economics. In 1995, partnered with the world-renowned U.S. market analyst, Raymond Meriman, and issued Japan's first market cycle and astrology reports. Renowned for market analysis leveraging cycles and astrology. Representative Director of Investment Daily Co., Ltd., Representative Director of Investment Daily Publishing Co., Ltd., Member of the Japanese Technical Analysts Association, Editor-in-Chief of ‘Investment Daily α’.
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【Web distribution on September 24】 Autumn Stock Study Session ‘We Won’t Talk About Anything But Stocks! Vol. 2’
■ Part 1: Conditions for the Nikkei Stock Average at 50,000 and the risk of a sharp drop
Speaker: Ikuho Toyoshi (Financial Analyst and Author of Investment Daily α: A Frontline on Stocks)
■ Part 2: Follow-up and Update on Stock Market View
Speaker: Takashi Kabuki (Representative Director, Investment Daily Co., Ltd.)