Anomaly Verification _ Technical Included
The other day, on Friday 9/12 at 15:00, I entered a pound-yen short due to an anomaly,
but I was taken to SL straight away.
At that time, the entry overlapped with an economic indicator release,
and considering slippage as well, I wondered if there might be a more advantageous entry by shifting away from the indicator release timing,
so I conducted the following verification.
The attempted methods are those where the entry timing was shifted as follows.
Entry at 15:00:00 (before change)
Entry at 14:59:45
Entry at 15:01:00
Entry at 15:02:00
Entry at 15:05:00
(Settlement is basically at 23:58:50, but there are times when technical judgments settle earlier)
As a result, the entry at 15:01:00 was the best performing,
and furthermore,
we added a rule to wait until after the specified time for the price movement to settle down before entering,
and the results improved further. Consequently, regarding the anomaly portion of the pound-yen short,
Profit Factor: 1.34 ⇒ 1.41
Expected Gain: 5.9 pips ⇒ 6.9 pips
and the performance improved quite significantly.
If you overdo the fine-tuning, there’s a risk of over-optimization, but
this time, the verification was consistently conducted with the concept of preventing entering unfavorably when there is sharp price movement at indicator release times, so
I plan to upgrade the following EA with this approach.
Anomaly Technical
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/systemtrade/fx/65809
Below are the test results.
【15:00:00 Entry (before change)】
【14:59:45 Entry】
【15:01:00 Entry】
【15:00:00 & wait for price movement to settle, then entry】
【14:59:45 & wait for price movement to settle, then entry】
【15:01:00 & wait for price movement to settle, then entry】※ Adopted logic
【15:02:00 & wait for price movement to settle, then entry】
【15:05:00 & wait for price movement to settle, then entry】