FX Practical: USDJPY Trading Analysis – October 2, 2025
On October 2, 2025, Japan time 15:04, I analyzed the USDJPY 15-minute chart.
At this time, the price was in a short-term downtrend, and after a sharp drop it formed a sideways range near the lows. I obtained a basis for a short-term long setup from the combination of a high-volume concentration zone (AOC) in this low-area and a rejection signal from the range. Since this is a counter-trend trade against the trend, tight risk management is required.
As a result of applying Volume Profile, I identified the AOC (Area of Control) where the most volume is concentrated. This zone suggests price levels that the market views as a short-term bottom (support).
Entry: Buy Limit placed in the AOC zone (around146.009; near the upper edge of the orange zone on the chart).
Stop loss: placed below the AOC, around145.475, to avoid a stop-out from a new low.
Take profit: aimed toward the recent swing high (resistance), around146.596.
In this trade, the risk-reward (RR) is set at approximately1:1.1. It is a downtrend, but the combination of the Volume Profile's AOC and rejection signals provides a short-term edge for entry.
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