Kabuki Takaaki "Weekly Gold Market Outlook" September 8, 2025 issue

This is a Gold Market Outlook report written every week by Takaki Kaburagi, the President and CEO of Investment Daily, and a master of cycle analysis.

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Last week's big event, the US jobs data, showed employment rising by 22,000, far below the forecast increase of 75,000, and the unemployment rate rose 0.1 point to 4.3%. Clearly the employment picture has lost momentum, and at the FRB policy meeting on the 16th–17th, expectations for a 0.25% rate cut increased. The market has already priced in a September rate cut, and is starting to anticipate two more cuts this year.

In response, the yield on the 10-year US Treasuries fell sharply, approaching the level seen when stocks plunged on the Trump tariffs shock in April, and the dollar index also declined, though this was already priced in and it recovered toward the close. Nevertheless, gold continued to advance due to technical factors.

Looking at long-term trends, rates are fluctuating within a range of stabilization, but if they fall below 4%, we would start thinking about the level seen in April this year.


For the continuation, please refer to the PDF.

【Takaki Kaburagi Profile】
Graduated from Kansai Gakuin University, Faculty of Economics. In 1995, partnered with the world-renowned American market analyst Raymond Merriman and issued the domestic first market cycle and astrology reports. He is well-regarded for market analysis that leverages cycles and astrology. President and CEO of Investment Daily Co., Ltd., President of Investment Daily Publishing Co., Ltd., member of the Japan Technical Analysts Association, and Editor-in-Chief of 'Investment Daily α'.

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【Web distribution on September 24】 Autumn Stock Study Session 'We Won’t Talk About Anything But Stocks!'

■ Part 1: Conditions for the Nikkei average at 50,000 and the risk of a sharp drop
Speaker: Hitoshi Toyoshi (Financial Analyst, Author of Investment Daily α Stock Frontline)

■ Part 2: Follow-up & Update on Stock Outlook
Speaker: Takaki Kaburagi (President & CEO, Investment Daily)

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