You’ve already noticed, right? That you can’t win with buy/sell signals...
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Good morning everyone.
Yesterday, starting from 5 a.m. for about three hours, the wave information looked good, so I went surfing as a hobby.
The head-size waves have about 100 tons of power.
To avoid being pushed down, I step on a 60-liter surfboard, but from behind there is about 100 tons and from below a 60-kilogram surge, so my lower body, as I approach my fifties, can’t rise to catch the next wave without resting about 10 minutes after riding one.
Pathetic...
Local rules in surfing say only one person can ride a single wave.
I think that's good for preventing injuries and accidents.
Under such local rules, even an old-timer must compete for waves with twenty-somethings and thirty-somethings.
I don’t have the stamina of youngsters, so timing and recognizing swells become essential for takeoffs.
Though my stamina isn’t enough, I believe my lung capacity, muscles, and paddling won’t lose, so when I find a good swell I’ll chase it with full paddling.
Yesterday I rode about 15 times, so I’m satisfied.
What is that old man doing?
That’s the best compliment I’ve ever received.
With such things in mind, this morning I’d like to write an important article titled Investment Navigation Morning Activity.
Can trading win with buy/sell signals? Can you keep winning?
That’s my answer.
Sometimes you win, sometimes you don’t, but in the end you lose.
This depends greatly on capital, and if funds aren’t abundant, generally you won’t win.
＊There are cases where, with ample funds, you can wait for the next signal after, and get a favorable result.
First, excuses for not winning?
I will write these.
・Need to discern and filter signals
・Lack of testing/verification
These are likely the key points.
But how do you do that?
If you don’t know the answer from the start, there’s nothing to talk about.
I will explain the mechanism of buy/sell signals.
Basically, it’s a combination of trend indicators.
For example, when short-term and mid-term moving averages cross, or when the B-band begins to walk the band, a buy signal is issued.
Isn’t it nice not to have to look at buy/sell signals?
That’s my first question.
Also, charts don’t rise in a straight line with only bullish candles even in an uptrend.
They go up while they go down.
There lies the “darkness” of buy/sell signals.
Well, this was the case 25 years ago too.
As it goes up while going down, when prices fall, funds become insufficient and you get stopped out.
↓
Then that signal becomes bad and unusable.
The reason that signal occurs has been explained earlier.
If you trade strictly according to that signal, you’d need a fairly generous amount of capital.
In simple terms, you’d have to be able to withstand a 300-pip stop.
Even with 25x leverage domestically, and high leverage elsewhere, 300 pips is large.
Without that level of funds and resolve, trading by signals is nonsensical, I think.
As mentioned earlier, signals are a combination.
And you tweak parameters and do various things.
I’m not saying all signals are bad.
・Why use that signal?
・Why does the signal occur in the first place?
・What does the chart look like before the signal appears?
Understanding these things and being able to predict signals to some extent will improve chart analysis, how to trade, and the reliability of signals.
What I sell
provides entry preparation signals.
These are signals predicting the premonition of buy/sell signals to come.
While not all preceding signals are correct, at least in such patterns, you can sense what will happen next.
You’ll gain such a sense.
Since such preparation is necessary before entry, simply entering based on a combination is too risky, I think.
So, I guess those who trade only with buy/sell signals may be getting tired of losing?
Probably so.
Because when a buy signal appears, you expect price to rise, but it falls instead.
In a low-volatility environment, signals tend to appear near the top convergence zone, so it’s natural that prices don’t rise.
If you look every day, you’ll notice that days and times with volatility are limited.
Trading without knowing such things yields obvious results.
I primarily practice discretionary trading.
There is no need for buy/sell signals.
Because when signals appear, you can see them by looking at indicators.
When a trend starts, all trend indicators including B-bands, multiple MAs in a perfect order, and Parabolic SAR give the same result.
So there’s no need to look at them.
As for oscillators, MACD shows a positive/negative cross, and Stochastics and RSI cling to extremes.
Do you need buy/sell signals to understand this?
Failing happens when you get caught in a downward move that rises in an uptrend.
Do you have enough funds to withstand that drop, can you take losses when a buy signal appears while price is falling, or can you average down or hold?
These elements are all part of it.
In general, that is how indicators behave.
Originally, those who know this and trade with signals should not lose to signals.
But what about the actual results?
If you understand how to use and assess the market, signals wouldn’t be necessary.
This is easy to say, but easy to determine is not.
Many have traded FX for years but still can’t win.
The essence of the market?
Analyze such things scientifically and trade according to the results of that analysis.
That training is necessary.
I think anyone can do it.
I don’t think only special people with a good sense can win.
Sure, if you’ve been at it for years, luck and timing can sway large markets, but aiming to earn 200,000 yen a month by relying on luck or timing is more efficient to work at a convenience store job.
Within such context, those who understand the market’s essence and how to trade and win have
that’s why it’s popular and continues to sell even after three years.
Moreover, this product is not a mere combination of indicators
“an electronic book guide.”
It also delivers quick results.
However, buying this does not guarantee you’ll become proficient immediately.
As reviews say, practice is required.
But everyone is practicing to complete something they enjoy, so I think you can persist patiently.
With practice, you’ll understand.
Additionally, I write about it every day in Investment Navi.
When you go to a batting center, there’s a pro-level 140-kph gauge, but someone who has never played baseball can hardly hit it right away.
But after about a week of going, you’ll be able to hit it even if you can’t reach it initially.
I think trading practice is the same.
Don’t jump into real trades immediately; practice with a demo to truly grasp timing.
Is position timing not everything?
Millionaire traders know in advance whether the upcoming position will be a buy or sell at that moment.
They never do the opposite.
That means when there’s a buy opportunity, you just measure the timing to buy.
There will still be failures, so treat them as costs and cut losses.
What you do is simple, yet there’s a tendency to make it more difficult.
I recommend you buy a book as if you bought one in a bookstore and start by reading my Investment Navi articles from the very beginning.
What I, as a trader, would recommend are the following three products.
New Millionaire Trader’s Scalping: Volume Plus
FX Trading That Isn’t Ordinary: Hedging
Bakudon Indicator: Turning into a Winning Trader
That’s it.
Thank you for your continued support today as well.
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