Kabuki Takaaki "Weekly Gold Price Outlook" August 4, 2025 issue

The report is written by Takashi Kabuto, the President and CEO of Kabushiki Kaisha Investment Daily and a renowned cycle analysis expert.

This is a weekly report on the outlook for the gold market.

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【Notice】The issue on August 12th next week will be a holiday. We ask for your kind understanding.

The U.S. employment statistics released on August 1st were a negative surprise. The increase in non-farm payrolls was 73,000, below market expectations of 110,000 for five months. Although this number is not particularly shocking, the biggest surprise was the significant downward revisions to the payrolls for the previous two months. May payrolls increased by 19,000 from the previous month, and June by 14,000, totaling a downward revision of 258,000 for the two months. This was unprecedented. With the U.S. labor market only seemingly solid, the rapid slowdown led to dissatisfaction with the statistics, and President Trump dismissed the responsible party; however, the effects of his high tariff policies and stricter immigration controls are beginning to appear, and worsening employment seems unavoidable. If this data had been known before last month’s FOMC meeting, market participants wondered if July might have included a rate cut.

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【Takashi Kabuki – Profile】
Graduated from Kwansei Gakuin University, Faculty of Economics. In 1995, he partnered with the world-renowned U.S. market analyst Raymond Merriman to publish the world’s first domestic market cycles and astrology reports. He is well-regarded for his market analysis using cycles and astrology. President and CEO of Investment Daily Co., Ltd., President of Investment Daily Publications Co., Ltd., member of the Japan Technical Analysts Association, and editor-in-chief of “Investment Daily Alpha.”

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