【Path to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness and Memo_20250803】
It is Sunday, August 3.
Hello.
From the clearing after the typhoon,
this is the southern Kanto region where another typhoon may hit.
In the afternoon, there will be heavy rain like guerrilla rainstorms
that are coming, so
you need to be careful when going out.
Now, in the press conference of BOJ Governor Ueda,
USD/JPY rose rapidly to near 151.0.
And with the U.S. jobs report,
it retraced everything,
leading us to the present moment.
It’s a chart that makes you laugh,
and it’s quite impressive.
Trump’s call for rate cuts
may have been, in a way, correct.
In the end, isn’t this exposing the weakness of the United States’ data collection and analysis?
Now, let’s confirm.
We will look at the closing timing of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 8th
Weekly: 1st cycle, 29th/25 or
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 1st/1
Weekly volatility: 378 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 60th/37 or
Daily: 1st or 4th 1st/1
4HC: 1st cycle, 3rd/3
I understand it this way.
On the daily chart, it is likely switching,
the weekly chart as well...
and so on.
From now on, the trend will be upward.
****************************
20250803_FX_Market_Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/2A0-Yr9tti8
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 32nd or 5th
Weekly: 5th or 1st, 15th/15
Weekly volatility: 362 pips
Daily: 3rd or HPC 2nd, 7th/7
4HC: 1st cycle, 42nd/37
This is how I view it.
If the daily chart is HPC,
then an inflection of bearish candles is likely.
If the daily is HPC,
then the trend can be downward,
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 8th
Weekly: 1st cycle, 29th/25 or
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 1st
Weekly volatility: 311 pips
Daily: HPC 2, 80th/62 or
Daily: 1st cycle, 1st/1
4HC: 1st cycle, 3rd/3
This is how I view it.
Similar to EUR/USD
I think the weekly chart has switched,
but
if 4HC 1st, then for a while,
we can consider an upward bias.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 32nd or 7th
Weekly: 5th or 1st, 23rd/23
Weekly volatility: 417 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 9th/5LT or
HPC 2nd cycle, 51st/47
4HC: 5th or 1st, 50th/22LT
This is how I view it.
From the rise in EUR/USD,
USD/JPY is being pulled down.
If the daily chart starts a breakout at the 4th 9th candle,
there is a high likelihood of a large bearish candle.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 36th or 5th
Weekly: 5th or 1st, 17th/15
Weekly volatility: 418 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 9th/8LT
4HC: 1st cycle, 50th/43
This is how I view it.
On the daily chart, the third time frame is still young, and a breakout to the downside is possible.
GBP/USD is rising, but
the balance of power is even,
so it seems to be influenced by USD/JPY.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 30th or 5th
Weekly: 4th or 1st, 17th/15
Weekly volatility: 218 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 9th/5LT
4HC: 1st cycle, 50th/22LT
This is how I view it.
A large bearish candle will form
and the daily chart will break the inflection point.
With a bearish bias,
selling on rallies is the orthodox approach.
****************************
20250803_FX_Market_Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/2A0-Yr9tti8
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.216 -3.79%
DJI 43,588 dollars -542
US500 -1.6%
WTI 66.445 dollars
Nikkei 225 40,799 yen -270
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha Group (168) 2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei
Hello.
From the clearing after the typhoon,
this is the southern Kanto region where another typhoon may hit.
In the afternoon, there will be heavy rain like guerrilla rainstorms
that are coming, so
you need to be careful when going out.
Now, in the press conference of BOJ Governor Ueda,
USD/JPY rose rapidly to near 151.0.
And with the U.S. jobs report,
it retraced everything,
leading us to the present moment.
It’s a chart that makes you laugh,
and it’s quite impressive.
Trump’s call for rate cuts
may have been, in a way, correct.
In the end, isn’t this exposing the weakness of the United States’ data collection and analysis?
Now, let’s confirm.
We will look at the closing timing of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 8th
Weekly: 1st cycle, 29th/25 or
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 1st/1
Weekly volatility: 378 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 60th/37 or
Daily: 1st or 4th 1st/1
4HC: 1st cycle, 3rd/3
I understand it this way.
On the daily chart, it is likely switching,
the weekly chart as well...
and so on.
From now on, the trend will be upward.
****************************
20250803_FX_Market_Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/2A0-Yr9tti8
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 32nd or 5th
Weekly: 5th or 1st, 15th/15
Weekly volatility: 362 pips
Daily: 3rd or HPC 2nd, 7th/7
4HC: 1st cycle, 42nd/37
This is how I view it.
If the daily chart is HPC,
then an inflection of bearish candles is likely.
If the daily is HPC,
then the trend can be downward,
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 8th
Weekly: 1st cycle, 29th/25 or
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 1st
Weekly volatility: 311 pips
Daily: HPC 2, 80th/62 or
Daily: 1st cycle, 1st/1
4HC: 1st cycle, 3rd/3
This is how I view it.
Similar to EUR/USD
I think the weekly chart has switched,
but
if 4HC 1st, then for a while,
we can consider an upward bias.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 32nd or 7th
Weekly: 5th or 1st, 23rd/23
Weekly volatility: 417 pips
Daily: 4th cycle, 9th/5LT or
HPC 2nd cycle, 51st/47
4HC: 5th or 1st, 50th/22LT
This is how I view it.
From the rise in EUR/USD,
USD/JPY is being pulled down.
If the daily chart starts a breakout at the 4th 9th candle,
there is a high likelihood of a large bearish candle.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 36th or 5th
Weekly: 5th or 1st, 17th/15
Weekly volatility: 418 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 9th/8LT
4HC: 1st cycle, 50th/43
This is how I view it.
On the daily chart, the third time frame is still young, and a breakout to the downside is possible.
GBP/USD is rising, but
the balance of power is even,
so it seems to be influenced by USD/JPY.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 30th or 5th
Weekly: 4th or 1st, 17th/15
Weekly volatility: 218 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 9th/5LT
4HC: 1st cycle, 50th/22LT
This is how I view it.
A large bearish candle will form
and the daily chart will break the inflection point.
With a bearish bias,
selling on rallies is the orthodox approach.
****************************
20250803_FX_Market_Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/2A0-Yr9tti8
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.216 -3.79%
DJI 43,588 dollars -542
US500 -1.6%
WTI 66.445 dollars
Nikkei 225 40,799 yen -270
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha Group (168) 2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei
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