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Hello! This is Tejima from GogoJungle.
A highly popular content, the interview series with developers!
This time,Hakubun TakizawaWe are pleased to welcome Mr. Hakubun Takizawa.
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| Author of the Takizawa Chicago Letter, read by finance professionals |
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Hakubun Takizawa
1988: Joined Nikko Securities; 1993: Nikko International Chicago; 1997: Worked at Nikko International NY headquarters.
Thereafter, transferred to CitiGroup NY headquarters in 1999.
From 2000, transferred to Solomon Smith Barney Chicago under CitiGroup.
Returned to CBOT membership and provides analysis of the U.S. markets from the Chicago market to major Japanese financial institutions.
Currently, as the only Japanese floor member at CME (CBOT), provides various market information.
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This time, we will go deeper into the core of the Takizawa Chicago Letter: Political Global Macro! Please enjoy the main video as well.
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Q. Tell us about Political Global Macro |
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| Hakubun Takizawa |
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I believe I was probably the first in Japan to introduce the term "Force Turning."
If you trace American history back, it connects to British history, doesn't it?
The Anglo-America that held global dominance for 300 years, when the power shifted from Britain to the United States in the 20th century, what happened and how did financial markets evolve? When viewed as a chart, Political Global Macro emerges.
Because financial markets are within Political Global Macro, I have made "being ahead of the world" my weapon and product. |
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Q. Tell us about Force Turning. |
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| Hakubun Takizawa |
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First, what sparked my interest in Force Turning is how the United States handled the Lehman Shock.
There were areas where the United States seemed to have peaked, and it was then that I learned about Force Turning.
The four broad cycles of human life—youth and prime adulthood, etc.—are closely intertwined with societal cycles. The idea is that when the four cycles of society end (one Force Turning ends), a new era begins. |
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Q. What is America’s Force Turning? |
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| Hakubun Takizawa |
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In America's past Force Turnings, wars mark major turning points.
The first Force Turning in America is the American Revolution.
The next is the Civil War, followed by World War II.
And now we are in the fourth Force Turning.
As the way a Force Turning ends, it often does not end in peace but in war.
I have interacted personally with Neil Howe, who wrote the Force Turning theory, but he advances the theory on the premise that the United States becomes the winner and creates a new era through Force Turning.
My view, however, differs; I see the fourth Force Turning as the end of American hegemonic dominance.
Based on such thinking, I am watching what the next world will become.
In the future, should a Third World War occur, I would like to analyze financial markets while making predictions. |
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Q. Finally, could you share a message? |
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| Hakubun Takizawa |
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Even if what is happening now is a dystopia, it is not the end of the world; a new world awaits.
Live with the resolve and flexibility to reach that point, and with hope.
I think it's important to maintain the view that financial markets exist along that trajectory. |
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How was it?
Before trading, incorporating the background of the world from the Takizawa Chicago Letter could change your performance.
Please also enjoy the main video.
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| Episode 2 |
| 【The End of American Hegemony?!】Reading the Financial Markets through the Force Turning Theory【Hakubun Takizawa / #2】 |
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| Episode 1 |
| 【Joining the big securities firm and Wall Street bigwigs】What is the origin of Takizawa Report read by financial professionals【Hakubun Takizawa / #1】 |
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