Stellar Method: How to Approach the Market

Development chair is a balance ball.

Hello, I am Stella.

This time, myway of thinking about investmentI’m going to write a little about.
Rather than a specific method,it is a "base concept" for measuring trading timing.

◆ Can the market be predicted?

I basically think thatthe market is a collection of fundamentals that is too complex for humans to judge.
And,we assume it is impossible to accurately predict future prices.

• In one minute, a nuclear launch could occur in some country
• In five minutes, a mega-corporation could go bankrupt and trigger a world recession
• In ten minutes, someone could crack the cryptography of Bitcoin
• Tomorrow, aliens might come andleave a machine that changes stones into gold????

Such things also have non-zero probability, after all.

This is an extreme example, but the market canchange easily due to the actions of someone in the world.
If you have experience in stock or crypto order books, this may be a common-sense idea.

◆ But… not everything is “luck”

Reading this far, you might think, “Then everything is luck, right?”
But,that isn’t necessarily the case.

When you zoom in on the chart and look carefully,there are moments that clearly move in a regular pattern.

For example, at these timings:

• Dollar-yen “Go-to day (the morning of multiples of 5)”
• When the Funding Rate settles for crypto currencies
• Concentration of stop orders due to new highs/lows

It is not completely random; there are moments when a certain force acts.

If you could analyze a market move that will certainly occur in the future while countless instantaneous, unperceived random elements are battling each other,

the outcome would be 99:101.

If you bought and sold with zero knowledge at all, your win rate would be at most around 48% after considering the spread,

butby understanding these patterns, you can push the win rate to 51% or 52%.

◆ Finally, a little promotion

Iam developing a tool for discretionary traders.
BecauseI love investing but struggle with wasting my own time.

・Analyzing the market is enjoyable
・But watching the chart all day waiting for the right timing is exhausting…
To solve that dilemma, I created

?Trend Line Trader (MT5)

This toollets you schedule future trades by simply drawing trend lines in advance.

For example, it can do the following:

• Enter when a slanted line breaks
• Place limit/stop orders that are valid only during a specific time window
• Automate trailing stops and time-based exits

In other words,you can pre-set the “discretionary decisions your future self would want to make”by drawing lines in advance.
Of course, if the market conditions change, you may need to redraw or adjust the lines.
Still,increasing the time you can detach your thinking from the marketwill improve your focus and quality of life.

Trend Line Trader (MT5) product page here

Well then, see you in the next تحليل article.