A story of someone who earned tens of millions in a短期間 and melted tens of millions in a短期間
A while ago, there was a buzz about someone who earned tens of millions in a short period.
When I looked at what kind of trades they were making, I thought, “They’ll probably burn through the tens of millions they earned by sheer luck.”
As a result, in less than a month, tens of millions were wiped out.
Why did they think they would lose in advance?
Because they didn’t manage their funds—this one point
They took big risks without proper capital management, so one could say they earned tens of millions in a short period, but that victory was a gamble with huge risk, a “fluke.”
Even people who have earned hundreds of billions in Japan, if you make them trade with big risks, they will inevitably lose in the long run.
Therefore, the cause of a large loss isn’t analysis of the market, anticipation, or methods.
Even the methods that could earn hundreds of billions cannot win if you take big risks
Probability theory and the concept of expected value are important.
If you consistently played a losing game in the long run, you could call it a “fluke” only while you’re winning temporarily.
However, once you’ve analyzed the market yourself and have your own method and still win tens of millions, it’s impossible to recognize this as a temporary win.
To recognize that, you need to understand probability theory, the concept of expected value, and know what the long-term results will be.
There was a reply criticizing money management during a big win, but it was treated as anti-commentary and attacked.
When you’re winning, you think you’re correct, so opposing opinions look like anti-fans.
Since it was from mutual followers, it might have been well-intentioned advice to warn others not to imitate.
Online, many people praise those who win even temporarily by taking huge risks in gambling trades.
And when you suffer a huge loss, those who had praised you say things like.
“Even pros lose a lot.”
I’ve seen that many times.
People who take big risks without money management cannot be called pros.
Definitions of “professional” differ, but personally I think the definition in the book “Day Trading” is most appropriate.
『Day Trading』
Winning is not the true measure of a winner.
In fact, the sole indicator for a professional is a minimal loss.
No matter how lucky a beginner is, their true state becomes clear when you look at the amount they lose.
Key point here: for a while you can win with a fake or luck, but you cannot keep losses small indefinitely by deception or luck.
The proof of a winner lies not in how much you win, but in how well you lose.
If you can control losses, you won’t need to chase wins.
End
Small losses and the ability to control losses define a true professional.
Most people only see wins.
However, because you can “win for a while with a fake,” no matter how much you win, that alone does not determine you as a professional.
The person who burned tens of millions likely feels mentally exhausted.
But the real hell may be yet to come.
If you’ve had big wins before, and you think that’s your ability, you’re in great danger.
Even if you lose again and again, you may keep depositing money, incurring debt to keep funding losses.
Once long ago, a person named GFF (Gufufu) turned 100,000 yen into 6 billion in about two months.
It’s a dream story, but in the end, all the money was gone.
Because it was live, some viewers even contributed money when GFF ran out of funds.
“You have the ability to earn 6 billion, please earn with this money again!”
A short-term win is a fluke and does not prove real ability.
Nevertheless, many would mistakenly think they have real ability.
As a result, viewers’ money was also burned.
Viewer: “Give back the money you loaned.”
GFF: “No, it’s an investment, so there’s no obligation to repay.”
Moreover, GFF had a 100 million yen profit in the previous year but lost everything the following year.
That means he still had taxes on the previous year’s 100 million yen profit (about 50 million yen) but had no money, leaving him in debt.
Taxes cannot be avoided even with bankruptcy, so it becomes about a 50 million yen debt.
Then, in tears, he said, “Some day I will return!” and retired from live broadcasting.
There were rumors that he may have taken his own life, but there are also reports that he is alive and gave interviews.
“Please send a message to those who are about to start trading.”
GFF: “First, set a stop-loss when you trade,
and make sure you manage your funds. I couldn’t do it.”
GFF looked back and recognized that his fund management had not been solid.
If you read up to here and then go back to the initial story, it becomes clear.
＞A while ago, there was a buzz about someone who earned tens of millions in a short period.
＞When I looked at what kind of trades they were making, I thought, “They’ll probably burn through the tens of millions they earned by sheer luck.”
＞As a result, in less than a month, tens of millions were wiped out.
＞Why did they think they would lose in advance?
＞Because they didn’t manage their funds—this one point
If you can’t manage funds, you can earn tens of millions or even 6 billion, and it all can melt away.
GFF’s words carry weight, don’t they?
「First, set a stop-loss when you trade,
and make sure you manage your funds. I couldn’t do it.”
Let’s absolutely commit to this!
‘Introduction to Zone Market Psychology’
“The only people who continue to win in an environment with no risk limits are those who decide their risk before trading.”
SL, or stop-loss, not placing means “I don’t mind losing as much as I want.” To prevent repeat big losses from traders who have previously suffered huge losses, a single change is enough: place a stop-loss.
That alone will save most people.Always decide before entering
・Where to cut losses?
(Basically, place the stop where the rationale collapses, so the entry rationale must be clear in advance)
・What lot size to trade and how much loss to tolerate?
(Trade with a loss limit that won’t deplete funds even after a few consecutive losses)
・Decide the lot size, enter, and immediately place the stop
『Day Trading』If price rises, profits rise and the deal is settled. That’s simple.
But what if the price falls? What will you do then? If you’re selling, at what level, when, and how?
Only professional traders can answer these questions before they take action.
Beginners hide their heads like an ostrich and think they’re hidden because they have no action plan.
If all traders strictly followed our stop-loss strategy, they could act like professionals against the downside risk.
We never take a position without predefining stop levels.
『The 1 Billion Yen Earning Tester』Q: How do you determine stop-loss decisions? I always waver.
A: Basically, when the initial scenario collapses, you close the position.
That’s the simplest and easiest approach, isn’t it?
In other words, you must decide in advance.
『Tester and Hiroyuki Conversation』 Hiroyuki “If you think you’ll incur how much loss when you lose, not many people actually do it properly. If you think it will go up, you buy, but if you expect it to go down, you shouldn’t buy.” Tester “Exactly, everyone only thinks about winning.”
Not only victory, but a clip of not focusing on winning
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