We are aiming for a short position even with a bullish view of USD/JPY

Good morning
USD/JPY four-hour chart
From this chart pattern, it seems everyone is viewing it as an rise in an uptrend
Why is it said that 90% of traders lose?
Because everyone enters at the same place
Then they fall for a fake breakout and can’t cut losses, causing losses to expand

However, according to domestic securities data, losing traders are
around 60%; it’s a binary choice of whether it goes up or down, so that seems right

I think 90% is the lure of FX schools

Now, this week the March market begins

There may be new flows of funds

Tariffs and the Ukraine situation
President Trump is a distraction

Technically, I feel a wall at the red line
I am expecting a swing with movement like a dotted arrow, aiming for a rise that touches the black 20 MA
I’m waiting with anticipation

In the short term
on the 15-minute chart

Should we first break through the blue line?

When viewed on the pivot line

There’s a hanging Bollinger near the R1 level, so including the red line on the four-hour chart
I feel a wall around this area
Even if it goes up, there might be a pullback here

This week there are many indicators, but
even if it rises, at some indicator release
there might be a sharp drop, so I’m aiming for the short

https://noOO .com/icdyaroh2007/n/n3c2e8c3268c5
Is it the employment statistics?