USD/JPY Dollar-Yen 2024: Buy signal on the 3rd day
■Position changes, signs - October 3 (Thu)
・ Tokyo morning: dollar strength. As European time approaches, dollar strength and yen weakness. From European time to London fix, yen weakness and dollar strength. From European time to NY close, yen weakness and dollar strength.
・ Throughout Japan and China, dollar strength accelerates.
・ In order of dollar strength: euro, Australian dollar, yen, pound (Japan-China basis).
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・ US Treasuries: rising yields (bear steepening)
US02yr 3.705(+0.060)
US05yr 3.626(+0.069)
US10yr 3.848(+0.065)
・ Japanese Government Bonds: long-term yields rising (twist steep)
JP02yr 0.364(-0.005)
JP05yr 0.483(+0.004)
JP10yr 0.835(+0.015)
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Tokyo market dollar-yen spot volume (10/2)
5,762 (million dollars)
10-day moving average 5,985
Recent 10 days max 7,700 (9/30)
Recent 10 days min 4,238 (9/24)
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Tokyo open 146.31
Intraday high 147.23 (10:00) 147.18 (23:00)
Intraday low 146.27 (7:00) 146.30 (16:00)
NY open 146.67
NY close 146.95
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■ Current position
10/1 – BUY @ 143.60
(LAST @ 146.95)
Downside continuation confirmation point 142.51, rebound resistance 143.05
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■ Position changes 2024
9/27 – SELL @ 144.50
9/25 – BUY @ 143.55
9/10 – SELL @ 143.65
9/17 – BUY @ 140.66
9/10 – SELL @ 143.10
9/09 – BUY @ 143.14
9/03 – SELL @ 146.30
8/29 – BUY @ 144.65
8/23 – SELL @ 145.40
8/22 – BUY @ 145.95
8/16 – SELL @ 147.90
8/15 – BUY @ 147.05
8/13 – SELL @ 147.00
8/07 – BUY @ 145.35
7/22 – SELL @ 157.30
7/18 – BUY @ 157.37
7/17 – SELL @ 158.35
7/16 – BUY @ 158.60
7/11 – SELL @ 161.46
7/09 – BUY @ 160.80
7/05 – SELL @ 161.20
6/13 – BUY @ 156.75
6/12 – SELL @ 156.50
6/07 – BUY @ 156.10
6/06 – SELL @ 155.70
6/05 – BUY @ 155.80
6/03 – SELL @ 156.80
5/31 – BUY @ 157.25
5/30 – SELL @ 157.00
5/17 – BUY @ 155.60
5/15 – SELL @ 156.30
5/06 – BUY @ 153.40
5/01 – SELL @ 156.25
4/30 – BUY @ 156.77
4/29 – SELL @ 156.36
4/05 – BUY @ 151.63
4/04 – SELL @ 151.33
4/01 – BUY @ 151.39
3/27 – SELL @ 151.35
3/12 – BUY @ 146.90
3/05 – SELL @ 150.11
3/04 – BUY @ 150.43
2/29 – SELL @ 150.55
2/21 – BUY @ 150.16
2/20 – SELL @ 150.01
2/19 – BUY @ 150.10
2/15 – SELL @ 150.48
2/07 – BUY @ 148.03
2/06 – SELL @ 148.44
2/02 – BUY @ 146.70
1/31 – SELL @ 147.41
1/30 – BUY @ 147.60
1/29 – SELL @ 147.71
1/25 – BUY @ 147.65
1/24 – SELL @ 147.95
1/15 – BUY @ 145.11
1/12 – SELL @ 145.35
1/09 – BUY @ 144.45
1/08 – SELL @ 144.63
1/02 – BUY @ 141.50
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