USD/JPY Dollar/Yen 2024: Buy Signal
■Position Change, Signs – October 1 (Tuesday)
・ Tokyo morning: yen weak, dollar strong. As European time approaches, yen weak, dollar strong. From European time to London fix, yen strong, dollar strong. From European time to NY close, yen strong, dollar strong.
・ Throughout the day: dollar strength accelerates.
・ USD/JPY balance shifted to buy at 143.60, moving to an overnight position.
・ In order of strongest against the dollar: Yen, Aussie, Euro, Pound (intraday basis).
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・ US Treasuries: rates decline (bear steepening)
US02yr 3.606(-0.037）
US05yr 3.507(-0.053）
US10yr 3.730(-0.053）
・ Japanese government bonds: rates decline (bull flattening)
JP02yr 0.383（-0.009）
JP05yr 0.494（-0.012）
JP10yr 0.845（-0.010）
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Tokyo market, USD/JPY spot volume (9/30)
7,770 (million dollars)
10-day moving average 5,893
Most recent 10 days high 7,700 (9/30)
Most recent 10 days low 4,114 (9/17)
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Tokyo open price 143.58
Intraday high 144.52 (15:00)
Intraday low 142.97 (23:00)
NY open 143.76
NY close 143.54
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■ Current position
10/1 – BUY @ 143.60
(LAST @ 143.54)
Support at 143.57, elevated resumption point at 143.93
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■ Position changes 2024
9/27 – SELL @ 144.50
9/25 – BUY @ 143.55
9/10 – SELL @ 143.65
9/17 – BUY @ 140.66
9/10 – SELL @ 143.10
9/09 – BUY @ 143.14
9/03 – SELL @ 146.30
8/29 – BUY @ 144.65
8/23 – SELL @ 145.40
8/22 – BUY @ 145.95
8/16 – SELL @ 147.90
8/15 – BUY @ 147.05
8/13 – SELL @ 147.00
8/07 – BUY @ 145.35
7/22 – SELL @ 157.30
7/18 – BUY @ 157.37
7/17 – SELL @ 158.35
7/16 – BUY @ 158.60
7/11 – SELL @ 161.46
7/09 – BUY @ 160.80
7/05 – SELL @ 161.20
6/13 – BUY @ 156.75
6/12 – SELL @ 156.50
6/07 – BUY @ 156.10
6/06 – SELL @ 155.70
6/05 – BUY @ 155.80
6/03 – SELL @ 156.80
5/31 – BUY @ 157.25
5/30 – SELL @ 157.00
5/17 – BUY @ 155.60
5/15 – SELL @ 156.30
5/06 – BUY @ 153.40
5/01 – SELL @ 156.25
4/30 – BUY @ 156.77
4/29 – SELL @ 156.36
4/05 – BUY @ 151.63
4/04 – SELL @ 151.33
4/01 – BUY @ 151.39
3/27 – SELL @ 151.35
3/12 – BUY @ 146.90
3/05 – SELL @ 150.11
3/04 – BUY @ 150.43
2/29 – SELL @ 150.55
2/21 – BUY @ 150.16
2/20 – SELL @ 150.01
2/19 – BUY @ 150.10
2/15 – SELL @ 150.48
2/07 – BUY @ 148.03
2/06 – SELL @ 148.44
2/02 – BUY @ 146.70
1/31 – SELL @ 147.41
1/30 – BUY @ 147.60
1/29 – SELL @ 147.71
1/25 – BUY @ 147.65
1/24 – SELL @ 147.95
1/15 – BUY @ 145.11
1/12 – SELL @ 145.35
1/09 – BUY @ 144.45
1/08 – SELL @ 144.63
1/02 – BUY @ 141.50
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