The current USDJPY is an anomaly trade strategy heading toward the Missed Pivot at 145.50 yen.
Indeed, the situation where the USD/JPY formed a temporary range between 144.35 and 145 was a noteworthy point for traders. In such a range-bound market, deciding the next move is crucial. The reason I chose the range breakout tactic is precisely because this range had been established.
This time, the U.S. GDP came in stronger than expected, and the USD/JPY rose. The psychological milestone of 145 acted as the upper bound of the range, but to my eyes, a bit further ahead there was a target. It was the pivot located at 145.50 that had not yet been touched. A pivot point is like a guide that indicates a direction, a level many traders pay attention to. In other words, I believed there was a high likelihood that the USD/JPY would move toward that level.
Especially at month-end, there is often a movement in which the market breaks out of the range. This could be called an “anomaly tactic” from an empirical perspective. Of course, anomalies are not absolute, but building a strategy based on past data and experience is an important skill for traders.
I feel the importance of having many weapons as a trader to respond to various situations. This range-break strategy is one of the 13 tactics I possess. Just as a chef uses different knives or pots depending on the ingredients, we traders must select the most suitable tactic according to the situation. Moreover, these tactics are not only used individually but can be combined to become even more powerful.
Many traders only have one or two tactics, such as scalping or day trading learned from books or YouTube, but with that, you don’t have enough weapons to enter the battlefield. Also, if methods and tactics do not work together, you may not be able to use that weapon correctly. That is why it is important to learn my 13 tactics and freely combine and master them.
For example, in this case, choosing the range-break tactic ultimately made the prediction of pivot touch come true, but it was not mere coincidence; it was the result of an “as-one” technique that combines tactics.
What we traders should aim for is to always hold multiple weapons and use them according to the situation. If we do so, we can adapt to any market.
× ![]()