"Toyo Keizai ONLINE Column Now Available" Forecast vs Verification, Which Do You Think Will Win?
Good morning, this is Matsushita.
Recently held, Makoto Investment School
within the Stock Investment Trading Techniques Mastery Course,
I explained the clear differences between what the general investors trade and what I teach.
Trading with a clear distinction.
That is, trading based on forecasts versus trading based on verification.
General investors always trade on predictions.
Japanese stocks will rise.
The dollar will rise.
Even when looking at various financial news in newspapers and online,
it is filled with forecasts.
There are countless articles about forecast ranges for Nikkei index and USD/JPY by analysts at various securities firms,
and that only means there is a lot of information.
More information means more people looking at it.
This information is completely useless.
If you could win with forecasts, the market would be full of winning investors by now.
Because real trading requires
that you prepare with specific, concrete grounds in advance.
such as, “If it reaches XX yen, buy YY shares (currency),
and then, if it reaches ZZ yen, close the position.”
This requires concrete, pre-planned justification.
You cannot construct this with vague grounds like market forecasts.
You may be able to trade.
However, you will not win.
To win in investing,
you do not forecast; you verify.
Verification means confirmation.
General investors forecast all year round,
while a small subset of market winners continuously verifies all year round.
As proof, after the stock school, participants of the trading study group
all continue to verify under my supervision.
As I have introduced many times in newsletters,
Mr. Inokari’s profits for three consecutive years this year are virtually secured.
Similarly, FX trader Mr. T’s profits this year are virtually secured,
and after three years of trading, he has never lost,
three consecutive years of profits, it seems.
Looking at them,
I believe I possess much more advanced and concrete trading rules than when I started making profits 2–3 years ago.
In other words, their future is more promising than mine at the time.
That is because I have taught them investing and have had them continue verification.
Verification is verification,
Verification confirms that you can win,
“Because verification shows you can win, you trade.”
This is the reason trading based on verification yields stable profits.
Unless it is confirmed that you can win, you should not trade.
People who trade based on verification are cautious and prudent investors.
That is why they do not lose capital.
And someday they will grow it.
Chasing forecast information endlessly,
without relying on vague forecasts, please verify and then trade.
Your profits and losses will rise to an entirely different level!
If you want to leave the folly of trading on forecasts,
learn the theory, use probability, and engage in verification to
learn to trade with concrete wins, join now
Makoto Investment School Online FX Investment Skills Development Course
and start learning.
Your lifelong investing will change!