USD/JPY Dollar-Yen 2024: Shift in Market Tone toward Dollar-Yen Buying
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■Position change sign, events – August 7 (Wednesday)
・Tokyo morning: all yen weakness and dollar strength continuing. As European time nears, yen weakness and dollar strength. From European time into London fix, yen weakens and dollar weakens. From European time into NY close, dollar strengthens.
・Over the entire day, dollar strengthens.
・Japanese yen balance shifted to buy USDJPY at 145.35 and moved into an overnight position.
・In order of strength against the dollar: Aussie, Pound, Euro, Yen (based on USDJPY).
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■ Tokyo market spot volume (8/6)
6,270 (million dollars)
10-day moving average: 6,668
Recent 10-day high: 8,926 (7/31)
Recent 10-day low: 4,598 (7/30)
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■ US-Japan bond markets
・ US Treasuries rise in yield (bear steepening)
US02yr 3.983(+0.002)
US05yr 3.772(+0.036)
US10yr 3.951(+0.055)
・ Japanese government bonds fall in yield (bull steepening)
JP02yr 0.267(-0.022)
JP05yr 0.413(-0.011)
JP10yr 0.878(-0.008)
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■ Current position
8/7 — BUY @ 145.35
(LAST @ 146.77)
Support at 145.68, rising again point 146.52 confirmed
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■ Position changes 2024
7/22 — SELL @ 157.30
7/18 — BUY @ 157.37
7/17 — SELL @ 158.35
7/16 — BUY @ 158.60
7/11 — SELL @ 161.46
7/09 — BUY @ 160.80
7/05 — SELL @ 161.20
6/13 — BUY @ 156.75
6/12 — SELL @ 156.50
6/07 — BUY @ 156.10
6/06 — SELL @ 155.70
6/05 — BUY @ 155.80
6/03 — SELL @ 156.80
5/31 — BUY @ 157.25
5/30 — SELL @ 157.00
5/17 — BUY @ 155.60
5/15 — SELL @ 156.30
5/06 — BUY @ 153.40
5/01 — SELL @ 156.25
4/30 — BUY @ 156.77
4/29 — SELL @ 156.36
4/05 — BUY @ 151.63
4/04 — SELL @ 151.33
4/01 — BUY @ 151.39
3/27 — SELL @ 151.35
3/12 — BUY @ 146.90
3/05 — SELL @ 150.11
3/04 — BUY @ 150.43
2/29 — SELL @ 150.55
2/21 — BUY @ 150.16
2/20 — SELL @ 150.01
2/19 — BUY @ 150.10
2/15 — SELL @ 150.48
2/07 — BUY @ 148.03
2/06 — SELL @ 148.44
2/02 — BUY @ 146.70
1/31 — SELL @ 147.41
1/30 — BUY @ 147.60
1/29 — SELL @ 147.71
1/25 — BUY @ 147.65
1/24 — SELL @ 147.95
1/15 — BUY @ 145.11
1/12 — SELL @ 145.35
1/09 — BUY @ 144.45
1/08 — SELL @ 144.63
1/02 — BUY @ 141.50
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