USD/JPY Dollar-Yen 2024: Quiet期
■Position Change Signs, Event – July 2 (Tuesday)
・Tokyo morning (13:00) yen broadly weaker, dollar stronger. As European time nears, dollar strengthens straight away. From NY to London fix (26:00), dollar weakens. NY close, dollar weakens.
・There is no change in overnight positions from the previous day for risk balance between Asia and Europe (Euro selling 1.0736, Aussie selling 0.6650, Pound selling 1.2640, Aussie-JPY selling 107.40 canceled).
・In order of strength against the dollar: Pound, Aussie, Yen, Euro (intraday basis).
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■ Tokyo market spot trading volume (7/1)
3,229 (million dollars)
10-day moving average: 4,229
Recent 10-day high: 7,877 (6/28)
Recent 10-day low: 2,250 (6/19)
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■ U.S. and Japan interest rates
・ U.S. Treasuries show a decline in yields (bull/steepening)
US02yr 4.743 (-0.002)
US05yr 4.394 (-0.004)
US10yr 4.432 (-0.002)
・ Japanese government bonds show rising yields
JP02yr 0.367 (+0.007)
JP05yr 0.611 (+0.022)
JP10yr 1.107 (+0.036)
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■ Current positions
6/13 – BUY @ 156.75
(LAST @ 161.42)
Breakdown support point 156.35, return resistance 156.74
Support at 161.45, upside resume confirmation point 161.56
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■ Position changes 2024
6/13 – BUY @ 156.75
6/12 – SELL @ 156.50
6/07 – BUY @ 156.10
6/06 – SELL @ 155.70
6/05 – BUY @ 155.80
6/03 – SELL @ 156.80
5/31 – BUY @ 157.25
5/30 – SELL @ 157.00
5/17 – BUY @ 155.60
5/15 – SELL @ 156.30
5/06 – BUY @ 153.40
5/01 – SELL @ 156.25
4/30 – BUY @ 156.77
4/29 – SELL @ 156.36
4/05 – BUY @ 151.63
4/04 – SELL @ 151.33
4/01 – BUY @ 151.39
3/27 – SELL @ 151.35
3/12 – BUY @ 146.90
3/05 – SELL @ 150.11
3/04 – BUY @ 150.43
2/29 – SELL @ 150.55
2/21 – BUY @ 150.16
2/20 – SELL @ 150.01
2/19 – BUY @ 150.10
2/15 – SELL @ 150.48
2/07 – BUY @ 148.03
2/06 – SELL @ 148.44
2/02 – BUY @ 146.70
1/31 – SELL @ 147.41
1/30 – BUY @ 147.60
1/29 – SELL @ 147.71
1/25 – BUY @ 147.65
1/24 – SELL @ 147.95
1/15 – BUY @ 145.11
1/12 – SELL @ 145.35
1/09 – BUY @ 144.45
1/08 – SELL @ 144.63
1/02 – BUY @ 141.50
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