Do not worry at all about the win rate of the backtest on 4/3 (Wed).

EA developers Reiwa’s double-E is here.

Today

“You don’t have to care at all about backtest win rate”

that is the story.

To state the conclusion upfront,

EA only needs to be positive on the balance of gains and losses,

so win rate does not matter.

If the win rate is low,

people tend to think, “This EA will never win!”

For example

even with 9 wins and 1 loss giving a 90% win rate,

Average win amount: 1000 yen

Average loss amount: 10000 yen

Then

9 wins × 1000 yen = 9000 yen net gain

1 loss × 10000 yen = 10000 yen net loss

A 9000 yen gain and a 10000 yen lossmeans that the capital actually decreased by 1000 yen.

In other words,

even with the same 1 win, 1 loss, the amount won and the amount lost

varies from moment to moment,

so you cannot judge the EA’s edge by win rate.

Well then!

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【Reiwa’s Double-E EA Listing】

https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/users/112481/products

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【Reiwa’s Double-E serialized articles】

■EA Beginner Course

■No biases! GoGoJungle Problem Posing!

■Double-E FX Musings

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【Reiwa’s Double-E Beliefs】

We develop EA with a straightforward approach,

strive to gain the love and trust of more people,

and aim to maintain a long-term WIN-WIN relationship,

to invigorate the EA market and raise literacy.

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