MMA Weekly Report Nikkei Stock Average By Raymond Merriman Dec.4 2023
1. Review
Last week, the Nikkei Stock Average closed at 33,431, down 194 points from the previous week. The week's high was 33,811 on Monday the 27th. The week's low was 33,161 on Thursday the 30th. Although the week's low fell below the lower boundary of the weekly support line, the closing price surpassed it, thus triggering a bullish signal. Therefore, the bullish streak is still considered to be intact. In fact, this closing price exceeded last week's Weekly Trend Indicator Point (TIP: 33,418) for five consecutive weeks. Consequently, the current trend remains in an “uptrend” state.
2. Cycles
As discussed in the upcoming release of ‘Forecast 2024,’ the Nikkei Stock Average has a long-term market cycle of 17 years. Its starting point is 6,994 on October 28, 2008. 2023 is the 15th year of that cycle. This cycle is divided into two 8.33-year segments, with the first half ending at the “double bottom” formed by 14,864 on June 24, 2016 and 14,865 on February 12, 2016. The second half (the 2nd–8.33 year cycle) has begun from here.
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