The market ultimately cannot be beaten by momentum, so counter-trend trading ends up being disadvantageous in the end

Contrarian trading is completely suited for short-term markets

It proves effective in range-bound markets

However, once a trend market arrives, you are placed in a completely disadvantageous position

This is somewhat like a form of martingale

Even with martingale, as long as a string of losses doesn’t come, you feel stable

and you mistake that feeling for winning

If losses accumulate, you’ll understand the reality

Because it says that the upcoming reality is that contrarian trading will fall into a disadvantageous state

Then a trend-following strategy becomes the reasonable trading approach

Of course, I have no intention of denying contrarian trading altogether

If contrarian measures are inadequate

then that only suggests that trend-following strategies are the most proficient

Of course, mental discipline will be required

If those who were being heavily defeated by contrarian trading

look at the current situation where they’ve become accustomed to trend-following and keep increasing profits

You’ll realize that trend-following trades are a fully guaranteed winning strategy

One thing I don’t want you to misunderstanding is

that you won’t win from the start

They won’t increase unless a trend market appears

but if a trend market does come, it ends with capital increasing at that time

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