The market ultimately cannot be outrun by momentum, so contrarian trading ends up being disadvantageous
Long positions against the trend are entirely suited for short-term markets
They are effective in range-bound markets
However, once a trending market arrives, they fall into an entirely unfavorable state
This resembles a form of martingale, etc.
Even martingale seems stable as long as a losing streak doesn’t come
leading to the mistaken impression of winning,
but once the losing streak accumulates, the reality becomes clear
Because it says the upcoming reality is that the market will put the opposite-bias in a disadvantageous state
Thus a trend-following approach becomes the more appropriate trading strategy
Of course I have no intention of denying contrarian trading altogether,
but if your contrarian measures are inadequate
then that only hints that trend-following is the area where you are most proficient
Naturally it requires mental fortitude,
and those who were heavily losing with contrarian trading
are now accustomed to trend-following and continually increasing their positions
you realize that trend-following trades are a completely reliable winning strategy
What you must not misunderstand is
that you cannot win from the start
They will not grow unless a trend market appears,
but when a trend market arrives, you end up increasing capital at that time
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