Earn by following the trend in a real market; earn by contrarian trading in a fake market
An ideal market flow is
a trending market → a range market → a trending market
in that sequential order, but
in real markets
there isn’t really a concept of a range market
there is a range market, but
that is a constructed concept
the true market position, I think, is
a “noisy market.”
Look at past markets
A market that is neither trending nor ranging, isn’t there?
In that case, what kind of market would you consider it?
Would you classify it as neither a trending market nor a ranging market?
Doing so would once again complicate market observation
Everyone says in unison, “simplicity is best,” but
this is true as well, and we should frame it as “trending market and noisy market.”
Framing it that way
when a true trending market arrives
you can switch to saying “the real market has arrived.”
If the concept of a range market existed
there would be a tendency to think, “could it come back…?”
To eliminate that possibility
it is absolutely better to think in terms of a trending market and a noisy market
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