What is needed in trend following from now on is to confirm the standard axis for whether it will grow or not

Trend following isn’t that rewarding

The reward is indeed large within the profit zone, but

there are many other scenarios where it leads to losses

this is because traders themselves employ both trend-following and contrarian strategies

as a result, the balance of gains and losses shifted drastically

certainly there are markets where trend-following grows profitably

this is clear from past markets; however, due to prior losses

they offset to a result where profits aren’t that substantial

“a poor trend-following strategy tends to end up with mostly downward results”

this is likely accurate information

When you look at the market, you can see trend-following makes money

but even so, the reward is limited to “extremely few favorable periods”

actually, from the market’s perspective

only a very small portion of the overall market

becomes such a “trend-following holy-grail market”

in other words, continuous losses are inevitable

rather than ongoing losses, profits simply don’t grow that much

unless you insert intermediate profit-taking, trend-following strategies don’t hold

and in the subsequent opportunity market, you must grasp the growth to keep up

Trend-following requires “practice”

Contrarian strategies require “techniques”

so while it’s probably correct to say trend-following is recommended for beginners

the initial “practice” is hard to grasp, so it often remains a weak technique

Trend-following isn’t a “technique” like contrarian strategies

the point is to overcome this weakness in technique

because trend-following relies on trusting the market’s tilt

if it tilts, that itself causes losses

betting on the market to revert is a better winning probability

even if your thinking isn’t solely about maximizing win rate

you’ll eventually adopt a clearly win-rate-centered mindset

this is a rare phenomenon that occurs when routine work isn’t reasonably well managed

the routine work of trading is the biggest trigger for capital increase

simply put, the market fundamentally operates on discretion

grasping such baseline criteria is the most righteous stance toward the market

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