Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is not profitable! Only losses! The reason is that the reaction is slow
From a formal usage standpoint, it is simply too slow
Because the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo uses the entire set of technical analyses,
it ends up responding to the market far too slowly
Even though the trend has long since ended, it may say “the trend just formed now”
But since the trend has already ended, it results in “an immediate full reversal”
Therefore, as a countermeasure in such cases
In particular, people who teach Ichimoku Kinko Hyo tend to advocate using counter-indicators
But if you support “treating this technical as a trend-following tool,”
trading it with a counter-indicator is quite contradictory
Moreover, if it only functions as a trend-following signal when trading with a counter-indicator,
you’ll be late to react, and even when you enter as a signal
there can be misleads later, making it hard to recover
I am against using Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as a contrarian tool!
However, this is simply how it is used in textbooks
There are parts where it can be effectively used as a contrarian tool
and places to test it with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
After the main cloud covers the chart
Trend redraws (flags)
Displaying the opposite side of the baseline and conversion line with a channel line to contrarian-trade
requires a bit of ingenuity
What this ingenuity can lead to
is a way of using technical analysis that conveys a trader’s expectations
Using such methods makes contrarian trading with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo effective
However, if you analyze using all of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
you will be absolutely delayed
and the impression will shift to “Ichimoku Kinko Hyo cannot be used! It doesn’t make money!”
Because of this
a simple approach is that MA crossovers for trend-following are enough
In the case of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
even a cross of the Base Line and Conversion Line is displayed slower than MA crossovers
Therefore in range markets you will incur larger drawdowns from MA cross trend-following
leading to poorer performance than simple technicals
This is precisely why
When properly handling Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
you must also pursue a technical approach that can track traders’ anticipated patterns
and you must proactively modify and refine it yourself, or you won’t be able to increase it
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