Everyone is a target in the market; just because you’re not a layperson doesn’t mean you’re part of the winning group—you’re still an amateur trader.
Hedge funds are the quintessential example of amateur traders
They try to profit from rate fluctuations without hesitation, suiting petty traders
That level of petty traders—that is hedge funds
Big players always target the same market
Hedge funds are really nothing special
There is hardly any proper research
Even when there is information, it ultimately becomes a binary gamble like guesswork
If you look at short-term results
The completely contrarian, panicky traders far more profitably
However you explain the market
There is not a single meaningful fragment
Only that current wave of movement is being written
It may be meaningless
But there is meaning in movement
The next chart unfolds through price and time—a hellish picture
So don't worry about being called a sucker or an amateur
Anyone is a sucker and an amateur
Traders who only do contrarian trading
Cry and call a trending market crazy
Traders who only do trend-following
Prefer to liken ranging markets to garbage markets
Everyone is just a sucker and an amateur
Whether you specialize or aim for a universal theory with risk control
You have to choose one
And the resulting capital increase is not that different
The ratio of losses to gains changes
But it hardly changes much
Because whichever logic you trade with
It's normal to do something wrong and reduce the capital you would have gained, turning potential profits into losses
So just stop worrying
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