The market ultimately boils down to fundamental trading in the end — in other words, it becomes poker

The market can move in any direction

And in the end, only market judgment can be trusted

In other words, the market continues in a way not found in textbooks

Therefore, lamenting that “I can’t understand the market anymore” is a normal occurrence

Because it behaves differently from the textbook

It doesn’t move the way seminar promoters say it will

But that’s natural—the essence of the market is “not according to the textbook”

What’s interesting here is not that it’s not according to the textbook, but

that it is not necessarily exactly according to the textbook

After all, the market prefers ambiguity

If you think of it as poker, it’s obvious that it would be this way

Like poker, the market ultimately requires decisions within a set of rules

There is no such thing as technical analysis there

Judgment is based on market fundamentals, not on technicals

Only price and time exist for that market judgment

Discretion begins from there

In other words, discretion is not technical but fundamental

Consider fundamentals as market judgment

In other words, we look at the chart

But not from the viewpoint of support/resistance or other so-called technicals

What we’re observing is the market conditions and the environment

We are only looking at those states

From a technical viewpoint, you’d think such moves are impossible

But from a fundamental viewpoint, you’d think, “Well, this is how it should be”

If you consider the market’s reference points and turning axes

Then it will unfold that way

That’s why market judgment becomes like poker

In the end, you must make market judgments

And that can be described as poker-like

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