Let’s stop technical supremacism and indicator supremacy; trading should be understood in the context of the market environment
Technical analysis, in a word, is
only showing past market movements in a misleading way
In other words
it's like saying a bogus thing is analysis
in reality it is not analysis at all, but simply “past rendering”
From the start, even if the market has cycles, you cannot prove them with “technical”
That is just a roll‑up of past renderings
In other words, just a post hoc theory
Therefore don’t hold an absolutist viewpoint
There is no choice but to think about trading only within the market environment
Profits obtained from indicators
Especially trend-following types only profit in markets where the targets hit
Equals
Only in places where anyone can make money
Try looking at other past markets
Usually, “if you are not past the MACD zero line, trend-following types self-destruct”
In other words, it’s about “only aiming for MACD’s clean follow”
Usually at such times other technical indicators also move forward
It’s outside the envelopes, and Williams’ level numbers are advancing
But if you try to target only that, you’ll still be fooled
From the start, it’s better not to think “go with the trend” or “go counter-trend”
In other words, set a promise level that “this won’t come back”
If you don’t stop-loss trade, the number of losses will just increase
Indicators merely make technical analysis visually easier to see
They do not improve the analysis
They do not increase accuracy
“It just looks nicer and seems optimized”
That is the answer and role of indicators
Therefore, in the market, nothing is required
What’s required in the market is the market environment
Only the expectation of the market environment is technical and analytical
From the start, analysis and indicators have no validity
If anything, only MA cross as a trend indicator has meaning
There are only a few places to look, like 25 and 50 trend filters
There is almost no benefit to be gained on 15-minute or 1-hour charts
That’s how trivial it is
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