Why can’t I win with a simple, straightforward bet? Here’s how it happened

Trend following in automated trading

The point of view is good

but that’s the only good part; trend following ultimately ends up with round-trip losses and consecutive losses

confirmed losses across multiple positions

Even if there is a vow to have only one position, it will be the same

it becomes multi-faceted

When the actual trend appears, you can increase

but when you close it, the results of losses and profits cancel each other out

In short

Stop losses are destined to incur losses

If you’re going to use a stop loss, it must be "strictly trend-following" and "the timing of taking profits is everything"

Because you can’t do this

Trading FX by yourself tends to be a "waste of time"

Because trend following itself is designed to lose

Even if the market direction is right, unless it’s a trending market you will lose everything

Because you must increase profits

There is no meaning in the aspect of increasing profits

Because you must do it at the final profit

To keep doing that, you need a corresponding amount of capital

That’s all

If trend-following trades are purely intuitive, it’s meaningless

If you don’t make profits mechanically, it’s almost meaningless

Automated trading can do that

If you’re trading mechanically, you wouldn’t be trading without automated trading

Trend following outside automated trading is almost meaningless

Even if you try

Starting with 100,000 and after 10, 20 years you won’t reach 100 million

Trade slows down depending on capital

Why it slows down?

It isn’t about capital per se

To be honest, the point here is

Time is the correct answer

Life and time run out

That’s why unless it’s a Holy Grail trade, it’s meaningless

Like 100:1

Even if you aim for 10 pips for 10 yen

Whether you can make a profit is difficult

Because it takes time to reach that point

In other words, compared to the usual volatility of price

When a trend emerges, the price also expands by the same volatility factor

And depending on the market,

It often happens after a long range period that a trend starts

The trend continues for a long time

And, ultimately, because you know the moment of profit-taking, you know the proper price level

That is impossible

In other words, what you can do

Is only the "most perfect trade"

Everything

Profit-taking by averaging down = stop loss

Loss-cutting by averaging down = moment of profit taking

It’s like that

Rather than doing it with a pyramid

You can pursue only profits by having a single sudden move with a snap empty order after an averaging-down miss

Once you hold multiple positions

Multi-position trading is all the same

Even if profits and losses differ, the resulting rate is almost the same

In other words, what matters here is the profit

Traders have no talent

Traders have no real ability

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