Why do contrarian bets lose?
Contrarian trading wins immediately, allowing repeated wins
Because you can win repeatedly, in a market where increasing capital trading is the basic style, you end up losing
Momentum trading cannot win repeatedly
Profit can come all at once
Minimize losses and profit comes all at once
of the
and earning profits repeatedly makes it so that if you don’t decide for yourself, a market that can lose all at once will come
the result of increasing capital differs
In the basic axis of the contrarian trade described later, the ability to discern whether a market that can lose all at once is “true” does not exist for anyone
Because losing markets are often just noise,
if you keep cutting losses each time, the losses will outweigh the gains
However, to selectively target only markets that can lose all at once would cause losses to expand
and as a result, a big loss waits no matter how you scramble
1) In losing markets with noise, losses from stop-outs are many, so performance is poor
2) To selectively target only losing markets, you end up cutting losses after a big loss, resulting in a large loss
In contrast, with momentum trading, the results are exactly the opposite, which is why
profit can come all at once, making capital increase easier to succeed
Fluctuations of capital
The concepts of momentum and contrarian trading are simply different
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