As long as we stay in the logic of maybe, we can't increase it
It is advised to stop the if-then scenario
This is similar to averaging down in market concepts
Averaging down is logically effective,
but you consider losses and gains of averaging down based on the strength of the “if-then” condition
That makes you more prone to bias
Even if you profit in the market, you may incur losses afterward in the market
You can make money, but at the same time, due to the expectation of losses during the “if-then” process
Because of that, your performance in the market worsens
In reality, most traders are not “bad at it”; rather, there is a greater tendency that they have talent
A trend-following approach is = a trade that a poor trader would do
Because they are poor, they exchange thinking only about the potential returns from trend-following
There is simply talent to increase from contrarian averaging down
If you can acquire the talent to “reduce losses,” that would be ideal
Most contrarian averaging down succeeds in increasing gains
If you haven’t increased, then you have set the return rate too low
To grow in the market
The profit range has to be large for it to matter
Trade while understanding temporary market tops and bottoms
Therefore, when it goes beyond the acceptable range, you need to consider whether to cut losses
That is where poker-like negotiation comes into play
The exchange there is not about luck
Naturally, what lies there is whether you “accept the loss” or “do not accept the loss”
Here, profits and losses begin to diverge
If this is a path of expanding losses, it means a proper stop-loss would have been appropriate
Profit would remain, you would avoid a painful loss by taking a risk and letting it pass
A major “what-if” in contrarian averaging down is
To illustrate, it is a negotiation scenario in such market conditions
And the differences arise because each operates under different logic
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