Going with the trend involves a repetition of潜在的リスクと潜在的リターンの繰り返し
To make a trend-following approach profitable
is only a repetition of latent risk and latent return
Therefore, to profit from here
it follows either a pattern of capturing interim profits or final profits
There are only these two patterns
If it’s interim profit
if you’re constantly doing trend-following, you won’t make profits first
the profits come only when the market has shifted, and
if you keep entering repeatedly, eventually the profit portion will disappear
If you enter many times, you must hold the trend to the end to make profits
Entering many times means trading with an emphasis on latent risk of trend-following
you are trading in order to manage latent risk
and the latent return follows afterward, which is the reason for the choice
and you don’t know when that latent return will come
To profit from trend-following
you must offset it by aligning with that latent return
As profits extend, a widening of the gains makes closure faster,
leading to less attention to losses and making it hard to produce results
“Always aim for the market’s temporary highs”
Make this the core of trend-following
However, this also sounds like the mindset of averaging down in counter-trend trading
A counter-trend average-down is like trading at that top
profits continue intermittently along the way
then a market emerges that advances so far beyond that temporary top that it barely touches it
that becomes the pattern of trend-following profits
Therefore, even the core of trend-following is only a temporary measure
Ultimately, when viewed through the Prospect perspective
the concept of a top itself becomes obstructive
After all, “there is no top”
Top = concept of counter-trend and range
In other words, a ranging market does not exist; that is a basic principle of market understanding
Therefore, if you are going to practice trend-following
please focus specifically on extending profits from this current trend only
That is the trading style of trend-following that should be recommended
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