Manual trading and automated trading: Stop loss does not necessarily increase; the mechanism as capital increase
If you’re doing stop-loss and can’t add capital
there's nothing else to do but focus on poker-like trading through averaging down
Stop-loss does not necessarily fix losses
if there is a sudden move, the loss can be recorded as stop-loss just as is
This is what happens when a real estate company president trades
when stop-loss moves abruptly and incurs large losses, it is recorded as stop-loss
and because of that loss, the real estate company ended up closing down, remember
That’s the true feeling about stop-loss
On the surface, stop-loss is considered high quality
basically, you must understand that it always carries latent risk as its true motive
If you use zero-cut as stop-loss, even with sudden moves
you’re safe, so it’s recommended
Also, if you ultimately want to go with momentum trading, automatic trading is recommended
It would be good to run automated trading on a desktop server using a VPS
Nowadays there are dedicated desktop-like servers from name.com, I think
So it would be good to use that
As indicators for momentum trading
Williams Percent Range 14
Bollinger Bands 14 1σ
Envelope 14
Default values reasonably generate momentum trading signals
Also, since the number of trades becomes large, the latent risk is big relative to latent return, which is a problem
I personally recommend a 5- or 15-minute chart, preferably 15-minute
On a 5-minute chart, the trend is really strong when it appears
but the number of trades increases
Also, you must consider
・Allow hedging
・Position count unlimited
This is necessary
Some brokers do not allow hedging, saying that if you have a long position you cannot open a short position
Also, as I’ve written up to here
in practice it’s better to keep it to one trade, like a single-strap
Trend-following trading is enough with one order as a reserved order
The loss possibility with manual trading and with reserved orders isn’t that different
In other words, whether manual or reserved, performance isn’t much different
Therefore, as long as you have stop-loss
even if the market moves in the direction you want and the stop-loss recorded the position as a loss
the important thing is the ability to accept it as inevitable
Because stop-loss fixes risk
Fixing risk cannot suppress latent risk
latent risk means sudden moves cannot be restrained
For example, with a reserved order
a sudden move may cause you to take a position abruptly
and encounter a highly volatile spread
and the loss is recorded with the spread staying high
This phenomenon occurs
This happens rarely; if you watch the market you’ll understand
Stop-loss does not fix risk
In reality, it is made of appearance and reality
Therefore, you trade momentum automatically
Because if a sudden move comes in momentum trading, that is the end
Loss is recorded and ends,
In trades that continuously enter momentum to capture the trend,
such states become prominent, hence the case for automation
As for taking profits, it lasts until the trend ends
The trend lasts quite a long time until it ends
For example, when doing automated momentum signals repeatedly
If you lose 1000 times, the subsequent gains become quite large
That will come
But judging those with manual or system trading is unrealistic
If you automate trading and the market continues, keep it going
And sense the market and take profits until the trend ends
That’s how it seems
People often insert limits, but
that often cannot exceed latent risk
For example, if you set 20 pips as stop-loss
and fail 10 times
The profit would be 200 pips
Suppose you hold about five positions
If there are three short and two long positions
If the long position’s trend moves and you set a 100-pip limit each,
Only one will succeed; afterwards it moves to the selling side and you incur losses
Also, when positions move toward buying, add those as well
The number of losses will increase further
And you’ll realize latent returns aren’t enough to cover
This is because you aren’t exploiting the retracement when a trend appears
When the “real trend” appears, it can move five yen or more
If volatility is high, it can be ten yen; considering that
Setting a limit becomes a question of whether it is prospectively sound
This is even more true for momentum automated trading
Rather than having unlimited limits, use limit settings
We try pyramid methods and other trials
In the end, they are only risk-reduction logic of Martingale
Eventually, they will break
From a prospect-based market mechanism,
Momentum continuous signal automated trading with unlimited limits should be a simple, ultra-low-risk logic
That is my growth-into-automation logic; this has never changed and won’t
If you think about where funds come from,
It’s from the market, and that’s obvious, right?
Speaking of which
I once estimated momentum trading with Williams, Bollinger Bands, and Envelope in automated trading, and it came to about 30,000 yen
If you add a VPS server, it becomes truly low-risk,
and you can tell whether it’s low-risk and easy to use
For manual trading, momentum trading is best with a stable time frame, I think
From the start, timing and possibilities are fixed; the market is uncertain
Reserved orders with stop-loss momentum is better
Understand the essence of the market: “mean reversion is not there from the start”
Keep doing this
However, manual trading carries latent risks, so
Many people abandon it due to continued risk
Even if you say reserved orders are safe, it’s a lot of tedious work
Moreover, it doesn’t yield much profit (low-risk by nature)
So people often quit halfway when trading manually; that’s why I think you should use a VPS and automated trading
If you consider where AI or algorithms get capital from
From the market, of course, and you should understand that
There isn’t a need to use a name like “algo trading”
If you want to keep earning from FX, see below
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