Reasons why discretionary trading favors a averaging-down (napin) style

Thinking about Stop Loss

A trade that loses on a single entry and reverses

A trade that averages down (nampin)

If you do it this way

A single-entry reversal is

only profitable when a trend appears

and if you keep doing it, you’ll see a spread of losses that cannot be recovered quickly

However, with averaging down, there are many aspects that can save you and make it easier to profit

Basically, stop considering market conditions and adopt a nampin type

and judge the market’s momentum

Doing nampin in the Dumbbell style is hell

It takes days to win

Nampin is the downward movement until a trend appears

You’re only nampin to catch the market timing

In the end, it depends on the entry timing

Make the entry timing mechanical

Why a logic-variable type of trade is no good

Because market momentum changes constantly

Therefore,

Ultimately

It ends up as nampin type or time-wait type

Why market-varying nampin is no good

Because you don’t know where the market ends

The latent risk is too large

If you were to do it

Only the exit-type nampin

If you’re going to nampin,

you must restrict yourself to “counter-trend nampin” only

Entry timing, fundamentally, is all counter-trend

Counter-trend is effective

Nampin is basically

Just the idea that you could have effectively captured the counter-trend entry timing through nampin is what it is

Fundamentally, you should focus on “time-waiting to place a counter-trend setup or place an order”

Because market moves are unpredictable and tend to change

If you trade with discretion for a long time, you can only pursue with nampin in a counter-trend

Difference between nampin and a single-shot

If it recovers, you get profit immediately, that’s all

If the market doesn’t recover, you only incur losses

A single-shot setup has a faster turnover

Also, with discretionary nampin

There is a tendency to “return before profit is realized” and to “always have to fight”

Therefore, you get a distorted market view and excessive losses

Considering these, it’s better to trade with time-waiting

It is far more efficient than trend-following trades

Reasons why time-waiting for signals of 12 hours and 6 hours alternation is good

Markets typically move back and forth within about 3–6 hours at a time

To maintain entry timing and turnover, you must

target the action of “one round trip out of many rounds” rather than being swayed by every round

In other words, you must not be swayed by all reversals

To adapt to all reversals requires

you must change the market direction each time

That only distorts market sense and expands losses

That’s why there are traders who grow wealth with “only counter-trend nampin” trades

In reality, aiming for a low-risk, high-return setup that targets just one of several attempts among a few rounds leads to faster turnover

Meaning of counter-trend nampin and meaning of the speed of turnover in time-waiting models

These exist, which is why capital increases

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