Trading should seek perfection
Trading loses when you seek perfection, but that belief is not true
First of all, theoretically you won't grow unless you don't strive for perfection
What matters is simply the work to minimize loss-inducing elements like averaging down as much as possible
Seeking perfection isn't bad, and what matters is systematizing it
Trades that are said to be perfect
I think it’s about reversals and averaging down—these are the trade logics
In the end, on the market you must wait out time like a snail
・You can't understand when the market will turn
・You can't even tell if the direction is correct
(So, the image is averaging down or reversing when you don't know the direction; as a result you end up losing)
If you can't believe this,
you can understand it by adding a pips-interval indicator and a time-interval indicator
You’ll inevitably notice the importance of “time and price”
Then, eventually it becomes about waiting for 3 hours
And trades triggered after waiting for the time
Because that is more efficient
Breakouts and follow-ups aren’t that different
During the time when you don’t know the direction
Most of the time you’re entering on breakouts or follow-ups
So, if you’re trading like that, it’s better to automate entries
If you hate waiting for time
Trading must add value, not just be something you do
Then it inevitably comes down to
Trending or trend-following types
A averaging-down strategy alone will lose if you only look at a pips indicator
Averaging down
It’s more efficient to do 1 average-down plus pyramiding
You basically have to wait and re-evaluate the trade
So, it’s better to be a part-time trader rather than full-time
Also, trend-following ultimately comes down to “believe in one side”
Obviously you won’t lean toward profit if you don’t
This is optimal as a trend-following approach
Even looking at the market with the Envelopes plus Williams %R combination shows it
Whether gold or GBP/JPY
In any market, a trend-following signal will appear
For example, recently with gold
If you use the simple trend-following signal with Envelopes plus Williams
After around 30 losses
About 5 positions win 30–40 times
Resulting in roughly +150 to +200
If up to then you had around -30 to -50,
It seems like a highly profitable logic
But looking at prior markets, such big trends are rare
In the end you must trade believing in the trend
There was a time when scalpal trend-following was good
Ultimately, what you’re doing is
Positioning profits for this trending market
You can only aim for the initial breakout, initial follow, or turning point in the market
Or something like that
No matter how many versions the market goes through
These three things have eternally appeared
So the idea of trend-following is correct
The idea of a trend is correct
The question is whether you can truly keep trading until the trend appears
So in the end, aiming for market reversals becomes sensible
Waiting for the time to enter trades becomes the safe approach
Is reverse martingale meaningful?
Reverse martingale
Doing 2:1, two consecutive wins yield +8
It becomes meaningful when combined with ranges and ladder trades
Trades optimal for trends
Envelopes
Williams
Both 25
Envelope width is 0.03
That’s it
Then wait one hour, and if a trend appears leave one position in the direction; that’s all
※ For those who want to keep earning from FX, see below
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